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You imply you either would believe his word or would short nvidia yourself if he said he was. If not, why not?

Close - If I had the degree of confidence that post implies about Nvidia being overvalued, I would take an aggressive short position.

I would take an aggressive short position.

Lots of very smart people have lost a lot of money by being completely right about the destination, but wrong about the path and how long it will take to get there.

> Lots of very smart people have lost a lot of money by being completely right about the destination, but wrong about the path and how long it will take to get there.

If you make a habit of this and still lose money, then either you statistically were very unlucky, or did not have a history of being right.

The 'fun' things with shorts is that they have a fixed upside and infinite downside (ie if you go short $1000, the most you can earn is $1000, but you could lose any amount of money and much more than you invested. This is the opposite of buying a stock, where if you invest $1000, the most you can lose is $1000, but there is no limit to how much you can earn). You can be perfectly right 9 times out of 10, but that 1 time you're wrong can quickly wipe out everything you made from being right those 9 times.

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