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"But it will get better, a lot better."

I see statements like this a lot when talking about AI in general. People seem to think it is a foregone conclusion that no limit to LLM model improvement and capability exists. What causes you to believe this and what evidence do you have to back it up?

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Because compared to a year ago, it's much better. Compared to two years ago, it almost didn't exist. Compared to three years ago, nobody was actually talking about it.

https://xkcd.com/605/

Like I get the jokes, and I totally agree that they won’t totally replace the humans. But come on, the way an average coder writes anything nowadays has dramatically changed. Especially for web and app stuff. I’ve onboarded some junior/mid-level engineers recently, and it’s such a different experience compared to 5 years ago.

Yes, five years ago they were likely using different frameworks and tools. What does that have to do with improvements, either in AI or otherwise?

Really? Opinion, based on the fact that there are basic improvements that can be implemented on what we have now, using the skills that we have now. If you don't agree, that's ok.

Now, about your comprehension skills, where is there any mention on my part of there being 'no limit'? In fact I go as far as to speculate on at least one.

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