If Bankman-Fried does somehow get a pardon, I will be amazed that the bitter debate on HN about whether he would get off scott free or would be thrown in prison somehow resulted in both parties being correct.
Trump does not care if you used to openly hate him. If you pledge allegiance to him, he is cool with it. Might need a small bribe, depending on the case.
It's not the strongest case for SBF so I don't know if it will happen, but I'd put it at more like 30-40% than the something like 1-5%.
Whether or not pardoning SBF would be a good deal for him is another question, though.
If this guy offered to pay him $5B at some point, maybe he will have a better offer later? It’s best to pardon him and see what he comes up with. As long as he’s motivated by “how can I pay more money to DJT,” it doesn’t matter who else he tried to bribe.
All it takes for SBF to be pardoned is someone to talk to Trump about it at the right time and offer him something.
Trump pardoned the Silk Road guy, a drug dealer, while claiming he was going to be the hardest president ever on drug dealers because crypto bros convinced him to do it.
Fortunately SBF has burned a ton of bridges. Most folks, even in crypto, dont like him.
I mean there are laws against straight cash but getting a stake of ftx2 could be promised.
I'd rather he was bought by the crypto crims than by Putin.