> you really wanna weigh your odds of nuclear devastation on a guess?

No. But my point is you are oversimplifying it. Article 5 isn't a go to war button.

If Poland was to consider it an attack, that's not important. The question is would other members consider it an attack. To that the answer would more likely to be no.

I don't know of an adjacent country going to war because wind blew the fallout/chems its way.

> other non-EU countries are already producing Nukes as preparation. I'm unsure about that.

It could be US divestment leads to lower chance of WW3 in 5-20 years, but greater chance of WW3 in 20+ years.