I'm not convinced LLMs will evolve into general AI. The promises that it's just around the corner feels increasingly like a big scam.
I believe the former are understandable and likely a part of true AGI but the latter a series of hacks, at worst a red herring leading us off the proper track into a deadend.
It may or may not happen but “scam” means intentional deceit. I don’t think anyone actually knows where LLMs are going with enough certainty to use that pejorative.
Yes. I'm pretty sure any engineer working on this knows it's not "a few years away". But it doesn't stop product teams from taking adcvantadge of the hype cycle. Hence, "use deception to deprive (someone) of money or possessions.".
Hopefully a manager and proper task scheduling. If I made these promises every sprint and kept saying "yea the task is only a week away from completion!" I'd be fired unless I fell down the rabbit hole to Alice in Wonderland. I'm using good faith to assume a lot of those AI engineers are smarter and better schedulers than I am.
But that's what managers and proper scoping and perspective is for. Maybe they're okay with that, but I'd wager any profit motivated company would not keep exploring unless the gains are enormous.
The people in the trenches there are working on tactical specific things and aren't going to be fired for meeting their internal KPIs which aren't nebulously AGI.
Yes, that's the true meaning behind my words. The marketing is saying "were working on AGI as we speak!" and that's only bare bones true in the same way that someone is buying a house... While baeeot starting their savings, and unsure or where they are buying and what they want in it. It's barely an idea, per alone "around the corner".
Meanwhile, they are given small, unexciting, but important stepping stones to experiment. Nothing that makes line go up, because that means being truthful. Thars why I hate hype culture. It obscures true progress and honesty towards progress. A distraction because talking about a "thing" in a blue sky is more profitable than talking about the actual stepping stones.