Managing fire risk is a simple task; California refuses to engage in controlled burns.
Managing fire risk is a simple task; California refuses to engage in controlled burns.
Brush clearing can help to an extent. But that's tremendously labor intensive on steep hillsides where heavy equipment can't be used. Taken too far it can also destabilize the soil and cause mudslides during the rainy season.
More realistic solutions are going to include tightening up the building code to make structures more fire resistant, prohibiting building at all in certain risky areas, and provisioning more water supplies so that the hydrants don't run dry.
Problem is this makes building more expensive. A better path might be the Japan strategy. Houses are designed to last 30 years then be replaced. You often get more energy efficiency, ability to build density as-required, more efficient ability to build and recover quickly from any disaster.
https://www.euronews.com/travel/2023/07/28/sicily-travel-war...
https://www.euronews.com/video/2024/08/01/tourist-towns-evac...
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/17/thousands-forced-to...
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-58243066
https://www.euronews.com/2024/02/04/dozens-killed-in-chile-a...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_Australian_b...
https://cepr.net/publications/us-forest-service-decision-to-...
However, state and local agencies undertake prescribed burns regularly. To be fair, clarity (read: honesty) from political figures on this topic (and others) is at an all time low.
https://thedispatch.com/newsletter/techne/why-shrubland-make...
Firstly, burns are a short lived control. You can burn but when it rains, the vegetation regrows.
Secondly, regular burns often promote the growth of even more flammable vegetation.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/brv.13041
And then there's the health impact on neighbouring communities.
https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2020/213/6/exceedances-nation...
And then there's the ever diminishing opportunity to conduct burns, due mostly to climate change.
Los Angeles had a ton of rain in Feb-Mar 2024 which resulted in massive fuel growth. That rain stopped in a hurry, plunging the region straight into drought.
That fuel subsequently cured over summer and became available to fire. Once it ignited, it was driven by extreme winds and there was no stopping it.
Not only was there no opportunity to conduct burns in that area, but it would've been dangerous to do so at any time due to steep terrain and risk to property.
Of course california hurts itself with its own environmental regs for burns, but there's alot of legal complexity to pull it off across the various land ownerships.
The main issues are sprawl and aging, above the ground electrical infra
The number of burns isn’t as important as much as how much ground is covered by burns and where. Has anyone studied it in greater detail?
> The main issues are sprawl and aging, above the ground electrical infra
I am not sure what sprawl matters, but I agree electrical infrastructure that is surrounded by fuel or can be affected by winds is problematic. But that still comes down to local and state leadership doing their job. It’s incredible that such large budgets and large numbers of public employees fail to produce outcomes that are any better than other states.
without sprawl forest fire is just forest fire. August Complex fire was 10x larger than Camp Fire which caused 80x deaths and 50x damages.