It’s going to take pain of a seismic level to break the hold on the minds that of the people.
Compared to Trump's administration the Chinese Communist party is quite okay from environmental perspective.
Yet the Chinese government is blocking the export of inputs for Battery and Solar technology to India [0], which incentivizes India to remain using coal and natural gas as a stopgap, as those are sourced from domestic and close allies (Saudi Arabia and now the US) respectively.
And China itself has begun expanding coal power capacity at the highest rate in almost 10 years due to energy security concerns [1]
Ironically, the Trump admin just gave a massive cash and tech injection into India's civilian nuclear and battery tech industries by starting to ToT American nuclear power plant designs, as well as subsidizing India's critical minerals industry (materials that are used to manufacture batteries and intermediate parts for PEVs) [2]
Reality is, no state or leader of a large country actually cares about environmental factors because they can afford to paper the effects, and the brunt of the suffering will affect poorest countries/LDCs that lack that capacity [3]
[0] - https://www.straitstimes.com/world/china-export-ban-on-engin...
[1] - https://apnews.com/article/china-coal-power-plant-carbon-cli...
[2] - https://in.usembassy.gov/united-states-india-joint-leaders-s...
[3] - https://www.economist.com/special-report/2022/11/01/the-rich...
It's already localised - currently coffee and cocoa - but at some point staples will affected. Which is when it gets interesting.
This is the most incredible time in recorded history. There's never been a civilisation facing so many extreme existential threats at the same time.
And all of them are self-inflicted, and would have been sidestepped or mitigated by a rational planetary culture - climate change, war (possibly nuclear), pandemics, catastrophic economic destruction, and AI.
This has proven true. It’s also spread across the globe and is a major contributor to green house gas emissions.
Maybe geoengineering will save us, and we'll spray the atmosphere full of stuff that reflects sunlight to lower global temperatures. But it's best to prepare for the worst. I expect birth rates to continue collapsing as more young people realize they're probably doomed.
I assume you are in NW Europe.
It will not, it will be a bit or more warmer on average then now and you may get regular snow in the winter. Winters will probably be similar to New Brunswick now. But no, not Siberia.
Averages don't matter as much as extremes for agriculture and infrastructure. The changes in extremes, particularly in winter, will completely upend the way of life for 10s of million of people. Parts of Norway will drop 20C.
https://theconversation.com/atlantic-ocean-is-headed-for-a-t...
Yet you will still live, like millions do in similar temperatures across Canada and the US.
The true brunt of the global climate catastrophe will be bore by the the global poor in LDCs which do not have the economies of scale or capital to mitigate some of the worst aspects of a degrading climate.
"OK maybe it's happening, but it's not a big deal"
"OK maybe it's a big deal, but we didn't do it"
"OK maybe we did some of it, but we can't fix it alone"
"OK maybe we could do something but, that would put us at a disadvantage"
"OK maybe we all need to do something, but how can we coordinate such a thing?"
"OK maybe we could coordinate, but it would take 50 years to see any improvement"
"OK it's too late, but at least some of us have made alternate plans for ourselves and our families"
"OK I guess that's not how society and economy work, but how could we have known better?"
...
Silly humans.