function ops(n) { return Math.exp (((64/9) * (1/3) + 1) * (Math.log(n) * (1/3)) * (Math.log(Math.log(n)) * (2/3))) }
> ops(2*16)
121106.42245436447
> ops(2*32)
38178499.24944067
> ops(2*32) / ops(2*16)
315.24751929508244
So if ops(2*16) costs $8, then ops(2*32) costs $8 * ops(2*32) / ops(2*16) = $2521.98. Far more than $8^2.
The cost reaches the millions for 64 bits, and ~$165 trillion for 128 bits:
> 8 * ops(2*64) / ops(2*16)
5601332.962726709 (far more than $8^2^2)
> 8 * ops(2*128) / ops(2*16)
165647073370.16437 (far more than $8^2^2^2)
Note that this is increasing faster than the number of bits squared:
> ops(2*32) / 32 * 2
37283.690673281904
> ops(2*64) / 64 * 2
20701824.831895076
> ops(2*128) / 128 * 2
153052707259.34015
As the wiki page says, it's super-polynomial in the number of bits.
If you still disagree with all of this, can you explain what's wrong with this method of calculating the worst-case cost of factoring the number n?
Cost(n) = ops(n) * Cost(2^16) / ops(2^16)
Or what you don't understand about this way of calculating it?