> But how could anyone reasonably expect the situation to be similar 3-5 years down the line?

We can’t, that’s why we are talking about the current capabilities. I remember using Dragon Natural Dictation software before the year 2000, I was young and it blew my mind away with the possibilities. 27 years later it still has not lived up to my young imagination. (It has gotten a ton better, no doubt, and will continue to with more AI)