And unfortunately for the West, manufacturing capacity translates to military capability in any prolonged conflict (which is why industrial policy and tariffs in dual use / strategic industries seem like the way to go)
Actually, from the assessments that I have read, while new technology and drones have made a meaningful splash, it seems like manpower and the ability to produce large quantities of artillery shells have been the true determiner of the tides. The lesson learned thus far is that considerations from the past still matter.
Russia doesn’t have the capacity to transport that much oil by land. It’d take years to build that infrastructure and it’s not even clear that China is at all interested in supporting huge investments that make them that dependent on Russia. Keep in mind that China and Russia are not fundamentally friends.. Russia is still holding territory that belonged to China, and that China wouldn’t hesitate to take back if they saw an opportunity.
Unless they can transport by sea by the arctic route year round (could eventually be enabled by climate change), the only way is to go south. Which is a far more vulnerable route than oil from the Middle East.
especially this article https://www.americanmanufacturing.org/blog/chinas-shipbuildi...
It wouldn't be close at all. The j20's wouldn't be able to detect the f35 and the F35 can hit it with an air to air missle 350 miles out.
From the Article you linked:
""“The J-20, in my estimation, would be dead long before it had the ability to maneuver against either the F-22 or the F-35. It’s got enough spikes on it to where the radar returns on it are likely to be much more significant, which means that the F-22 and the F-35 can see it a lot farther away.”