> Government sources have told Euronews that the damaged aircraft was not allowed to land at any Russian airports despite the pilots’ requests for an emergency landing, and it was ordered to fly across the Caspian Sea towards Aktau in Kazakhstan.
> According to data, the plane’s GPS navigation systems were jammed throughout the flight path above the sea.
I tend to agree with his conclusion that it's unlikely that the Russians attempted to force the jet to crash in the Caspian Sea to cover up the event. Not because Putin's government has any moral qualms, but because they lack the level of organizational competence it would take to come up with a plan like this and carry it out on short notice.
The two nearest airports in the direction away from Russia's war of aggression are the flight's origin at Baku, and Aktau. Baku is closer, but it's on the other side of a mountain range. Aktau is slightly further, on the other side of the Caspian Sea. A water landing is at least possible. Choosing to fly a damaged aircraft the slightly longer route over a lake rather than the shorter route over a mountain range is an eminently sensible decision.
You can easily verify that the jamming has started _before_ the plane started to lose altitude. In the first place, your scenario makes little sense, since its useless to cover things with jamming while this cover will be immediately blown up by inspecting the black box records. And wouldn't it be better to land the plane on your territory for anyone attempting a cover up?