[flagged]
Russia is targeting both. In particular, Russia targets glide bombs without precision at cities. There are also cases like Bucha, where people were rounded up and killed. And the execution of POWs.
Keep in mind that Gaza is both more concentrated, and it doesn’t have air defense systems like Ukraine does.
And their civilians are holding it wrong. /s
NATO is just an useful scapegoat to justify Russia's imperialistic tendencies. During the period between fall of the Soviet Union and invasion of Crimea Russian businessmen here in Finland kept buying locations and buildings near military bases and strategic infrastructure, even though we had no intention whatsoever of joining NATO. They just like to subjugate their neighbours.
Synder goes further, and suggests that Putin's view that Ukraine never "really" existed, and was in essence basically a fake country (society, culture, identity) all along.
Which explains a lot of things; like how he seemed so confident that he could just plough in there, and grab pretty much as much of the country as he wanted in a few weeks. Because how could such a "non-society" possibly come together and mount an organized defense?
In any case -- it's definitely not hard to figure out. The man is practically an open book, at least in terms of his core motivations and his basic attitude toward Ukraine -- and many of his choice phrases are quite revealing. One just needs to be able to read between the lines, in certain places (and not simply take everything he says at face value).
On the other point, Russia intends to hold the territory and integrate the civilian population they conquer while Israel seems less interested in incorporating Gazans as equal Israeli citizens any time soon. (Not defending Russia but I suspect the different motives lead to different outcomes).
Israel doesn't want to control Gaza. Israel want to coexist peacefully with it and has been willing to go very far and take risks to achieve that.
This is very clear when you study its relation with Egypt, Jordan and Gaza.
The fact that Jordan and Egypt has not seen a single attack after they stopped attacking Israel is well known.
On the topic of Gaza it seems to be a lot of confusion, but here are some details people often leave out:
- Israel voluntarily left Gaza in anticipation of a permanent peace deal
- Israel wanted Gaza to succeed and forcefully removed their own people
- Israel left infrastructure behind
- Israel, in the beginning, had relatively open borders towards Gaza
- There was hospital cooperation so people could easily be rushed from Gaza to Israeli hospitals to save lives
- Gradually the borders have been closed more and more. Each of these restrictions have a reason written in blood.
- Yes, that includes the reasons why ambulances are not allowed to cross into Israel without inspection, Gazan terrorists abused even that opportunity to stage attacks
- The border have been restricted more and more thanks to this, but even until 07. of October last year, people could live in Gaza and work in Israel
I think it's good to apply Mearsheimer's realist thinking here, and the intention is obviously clear that Israel does not want peace with Gaza as that would require recognition of a Palestinian state as the PLO had wanted since the 70s, which is a non-starter. Instead, as Israel has recognized, it is in its best interest to ethnically cleanse Gaza, either through outright murder of tens of thousands of civilians or rendering the strip uninhabitable to force the Gazans out. Many Gazans live in tents since their homes were destroyed by the Israeli military, and I doubt Israel will allow for any meaningful reconstruction once the war on Gaza is over, and will probably welcome the remaining Gazans fleeing the inhospitable conditions.
This will probably also open up space for new settlements in Gaza that many politicians have already started proposing.
You have to realize that most Israelis (~75%, and this figure includes Arabs) are in favour of the war, and IIRC half are in favour of expelling the Arabs altogether. I don't think we'd see much objection to this course of events within Israel itself.
>The fact that Jordan and Egypt has not seen a single attack after they stopped attacking Israel is well known.
It is interesting you mention this, because during the Israeli occupation of the Sinai penninsula in 1967, Egypt attempted to resolve the issue diplomatically, mediated by Gunnar Jarring. Their request was simply the Sinai in return for recognition of Israel and cessation of hostilities. Israel refused these conditions. Egypt eventually attacked in October 1973 and (much to Israel's surprise) was able to retake enough of the Sinai to call Israel's military domination into question. I think Rabin said that Egypt was enough of a threat that it needed to be neutralized, which is what the Camp David Accords did. It was literally through attacking Israel that Egypt was able to achieve the diplomatic solution it wanted from the start.
>Israel wanted Gaza to succeed and forcefully removed their own people
The Palestinians materially gained nothing from disengagement (in fact, they were blockaded and bombed during Cast Lead and Pillar of Defense despite the "disengagement"), but the Israelis were able to alleviate enough American pressure for a peace process that could potentially result in Palestinian statehood. Not to mention a costly military occupation could be stopped and Jewish settlements in one of the most densely populated regions of the world (i.e. a disaster waiting to happen) could be dismantled.
I don't think benevolence towards Gazans had any role in the decision for disengagement, considering the overall Israeli indifference towards the suffering of the Gazans.
From what I see from my perspective:
Last time it was on the table the deal was so good PLO realized it could be forced into a real two state solution with peace and permanent borders.
At that time the PLO, not Israel, left the negotiating table without even a counteroffer.
For me, from all I see from the rhetoric, Arab organizations want all:
- right of return for them
- no compensation or right of return for Jews forced into Israel from surrounding areas
- no permanent borders and peace, they see it only as a first step
> as that would require recognition of a Palestinian state as the PLO had wanted since the 70s
Let's also for completeness include that PLO want to eradicate Israel, and are brazen enough to have it in their official charter.
This is not true. I am not interested in whatever labels the Israeli or Palestinians might ascribe to their agreements. There has never been an instance where the PLO was offered something that resembles a modern, economically and politically independent nation-state. The closest was in 2001 under Bill Clinton, but Israel refused the conditions set by Clinton while the PLO accepted them.
>Let's also for completeness include that PLO want to eradicate Israel, and are brazen enough to have it in their official charter.
Again, much like the Likud party's own charter, from a realist perspective this is irrelevant. What's relevant is what both parties are realistically capable of doing, and the balance of power clearly favours Israel.
That was not Israel’s policy back in 2006. Hamas had zero interest in coexistence or the wellbeing (or lives) of the people living in Gaza. The current situation is a direct outcome of that.
I mean.. yes, if the only choice is between removing the entire population of Gaza and giving it back to Hamas it’s not that surprising that most Israeli’s are picking the first option.
I don't think the evidence favors this conclusion. Their actions immediately following 2006 suggests they definitely had quite a bit of interest - they enforced a ceasefire after 2006 (also punishing other groups that attempted to break it), and according to former President Carter were willing to accept a 2-state solution if the Palestinians democratically approved it. This was all put on hold after Cast Lead, which aligns with the Israeli policy of denying a two-state solution.
The only piece of evidence I can think of that counters this is Hamas' charter, which IIRC calls for the creation of a Palestinian state in all of former Mandatory Palestine which would imply the destruction of Israel. But even then, based on the pragmatism demonstrated above (and the openness to a two-state solution), the Hamas leadership were rational enough to realize this goal could not be achieved.
- Israel left infrastructure behind
Because Ukraine has access to modern AA and early warning systems. Russia is still indiscriminately shooting at civilian targets it’s just that they have a much harder time hitting anyone than the Israelis.
Also there are hardly any actual military targets in Lebanon and Gaza because the local terrorists couldn’t care less about the civilian population there (not that this fact absolves Israel of anything)
> used as a NATO-powered bulwark against Russia
Deranged paranoid delusions… NATO, EU and USA couldn’t care less about somehow attacking or invading Russia. That’s just as absurd as it gets.
> America often does with its "allies"
When exactly did they do that in Europe?
BECAUSE OF RUSSIAN THREAT.
I invite you to pay attention to the "Evidence of genocidal intent" chapter. The same intent that Israel lacks.
The actual section of the WP article you're referring to comes to no conclusions on the matter.
It's just a giant hatchet job, a mishmash of conflicting opinions.
https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-ukraine-icc-judges-is...
Putin wants to destroy Ukraine as a nation and obliterate Ukrainian identity.