We come from very many years of analysis spent on the case, especially in the past three years. They do not draw the picture with that brush or detail.

I suggest you elect a few important commentators and check their writings.

You should make an idea of the motivations that brought to action, and read the future possibilities in view of the motivations (still playing actively in the game) and the current results on all sides, including the military, the political and the geopolitical.