Those working in specialized fields will hold on for much longer.
But CRUD apps, apps requiring gluing bunch of APIs with backend and database wil go away.
Most apps do not need much scaling so highly specialized scaling masters aren't really needed
Currently using zed editor, I am blown away by its Ai integration.
Though completion via FIM throut custom LLMs is lacking
And there are other problems like lacking git integration, I prefer vscode for that!
The thing about AI up to this point is that it has replaced, well, very few jobs, but what jobs it seems to be most capable of replacing are extremely counter-intuitive. Eight years ago, everyone thought it would be: self-driving, machines, hard labor, etc. Turns out that stuff is really hard, and the first industries to fall were actually the more creative ones like writing and art.
If you have an intuition for how the next ten years will look, I'd implore you to be open to the reality that there is no way you could have predicted the world-state of 2024 from the perspective of 2019; and that's only 5 years.
Here's the counter-intuitive take that I believe to be true: Specialized coding might fall faster than generalist CRUD apps, if either falls at all. The value in specialized engineering is biased a lot heavier toward knowledge of the specialized thing you know about. Versus, the problems generalist CRUD coders deal with every day aren't actually technical or coding problems; they're business problems, coordination, resource allocation, and politics. AI has demonstrated itself as being pretty good at knowing things, even highly specialized things; it has not demonstrated itself as being very good at taking responsibility for its actions.
have writing and art really fallen? aside from stupid SEO drivel writing, that is
[0] - https://www.reddit.com/r/technicalwriting/comments/1fuz4m6/a... [1] - https://youtu.be/U2vq9LUbDGs [2] - https://bloomberry.com/i-analyzed-5m-freelancing-jobs-to-see... [3] - https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/20/business/ai-jobs-workers-repl...
So you can create, edit, even delete to-dos, and it’s even hosted online.
* Once a user has a lot of to-do’s, they might want to organize them. You could organize them hierarchically, or with tags, or represented as a graph.
* what if somebody makes an a new to do or an edit while their cell phone is out of service?
* Are multiple users supported? Can users collaborate on a single to-do? Are entire organizations supported?
* what happens if somebody accidentally deletes a to-do? Can they ever get it back?
* What about concurrent edits to the same to-do?
* Can just anybody make to-dos? What if somebody writes a bot to make millions of to-dos on your website?
* If I load up my to-do list when my phone has no service, do I just get a loading spinner?
The perfect to-do app might actually take an expert a year or more to write. Then it still has to generate a profit somehow.
So maybe one dev can handle writing five or ten times as many CRUD services as before. The idea that the biz person is gonna get rid of those devs entirely and babysit the coding agents/deploys/etc themselves strikes me as wildly unrealistic, though. Nor is it realistic that SAAS as a market will just dry up because individuals will just have their own coder agents that do everything for them.
Question is if there's going to be an "enough is enough" point feature/change-wise. But I can't think of the last time I worked at a company where the product team and senior management threw up their hands and said "we did it, we finally cleared the entire product development backlog" as opposed to generating ideas at a rate many multiples of the rate of implementation.
The baseline "here's what you can get with a shoestring team" level of output will get higher. But it will also get higher for your competitors. So expectations will just be much higher. So you just gotta move that much faster now.
They were already going away with the improvements in no-code tools, Zapier, scaffolding frameworks etc. LLMs are just another automated tool in this context.