Gavin Newsom vetoes SB 1047
gov.ca.gov
gov.ca.gov
I'm repeatedly seeing A.T. links posted which read "you have been blocked" or similar. Sometimes those resolve later, sometimes not.
HN's policy is that paywalls are permissible where workarounds exist. WSJ is getting close to disabling those workarounds.
The NYTimes similarly tightened its paywall policy a few years ago. A consequence was that its prevalence on the HN front page fell to ~25% of its prior value, with no change in HN policies (as reported by dang), just member voting patterns.
Given the difficulty in encouraging people to read articles before posting shallow-take comments, this is a significant problem for HN, and the increased reliance of media sites on paywalls is taking its toll on general discussion.
There are literally hundreds of news sites, and many thousands if individual sites, submitted to HN and making the front page annually. It would cost a fortune, not merely a small one, to subscribe to all of these.
No one has the time to read all of them, so it doesn't really matter if it would also be unaffordable.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41690454 remains pinned to the top of the thread, so people have the opportunity to read both.
(Actually we usually prefer the best third-party article to press releases, but nothing's perfectly consistent.)
It was basically a torpedo against open models. Market leaders like OpenAI and Anthropic weren't really worried about it, or about open models in general. Its supporters were the also-rans like Musk [1] trying to empty out the bottom of the pack, as well as those who are against any AI they cannot control, such as antagonists of the West and wary copyright holders.
[1] https://techcrunch.com/2024/08/26/elon-musk-unexpectedly-off...
He vetoed it in part because the threshold it applies to at all are well-beyond any current models, and he wants something that will impose greater restrictions on more and much smaller/lower-training-compute models that this would have left alone entirely.
> Market leaders like OpenAI and Anthropic weren't really worried about it, or about open models in general.
OpenAI (along with Google and Meta) led the institutional opposition to the bill, Anthropic was a major advocate for it.
Well, we'll see what passes again and when. By then there'll be more kittens out of the bag too.
> Anthropic was a major advocate for it.
I don't know about being a major advocate, the last I read was "cautious support" [1]. Perhaps Anthropic sees Llama as a bigger competitor of theirs than I do, but it could also just be PR.
[1] https://thejournal.com/articles/2024/08/26/anthropic-offers-...
This seems a curious dichotomy. Can we at least consider the possibility that they mean the words they say or is that off the table?
He's just planning for a post-governor career.
After this year, many democrats are as well - which is why Harris had such a hard time finding a VP and took Walz who was like the last kid you pick on your dodgeball team.
The presidential race in 2028 for the Democrats is going to have one of the deepest benches for talent I've seen in a long time. Newsom and Shapiro will be at the top of the list for sure.
But I agree, Newsom has been making some decisions lately that seem to indicate he's trying to clean up his image and look more "moderate" for the coming election cycles.
There are a number of related threads linked, but I’ll personally highlight Jeremy Howard’s open letter as IMHO the best-argued case against SB 1047.
I’d be careful with that cognitive bias, because obviously companies dumping poison into water sources are going to be opposed to laws that would prohibit them from dumping poison into water sources.
Always consider the broader narrative in addition to the specific narratives of the players involved. Personally, I’m on the side of the fence that’s grumpy Newsom vetoed it, because it stymies the larger discussion about regulations on AI in general (not just LLMs) in the classic trap of “any law that isn’t absolutely perfect and addresses all known and unknown problems is automatically bad” often used to kill desperately needed reforms or regulations, regardless of industry. Instead of being able to build on the momentum of passed legislation and improve on it elsewhere, we now have to deal with the giant cudgel from the industry and its supporters of “even CA vetoed it so why are you still fighting against it?”
Who are these wide range of >$100mm open source models he's thinking of? And who are the impacted small businesses that would be scared to train them (at a cost of >$100mm) without paying for legal counsel?
Should we crown one the king?
Or perhaps it is better to let them compete?
Perhaps advanced AI capability will motivate advanced AI safety capability?
When framed like that: why be opposed, it hurts your competition? The answer is something like: it shrinks the pie or reduces the growth rate, and that's bad (for them and others)
The economics of this bill aren't clear to me (how large of a fine would Google/Microsoft pay in expectation within the next ten years?), but they maybe also aren't clear to Google/Microsoft (and that alone could be a reason to oppose)
Many of the ai safety crowd were very supportive, and I would recommend reading Zvi's writing on it if you want their take
The thing that large companies care the most about in the legal realm is certainty. They're obviously going to be a big target of lawsuits regardless, so they want to know that legislation is clear as to the ways they can act - their biggest fear is that you get a good "emotional sob story" in front of a court with a sympathetic jury. It sounded like this legislation was so vague that it would attract a hoard of lawyers looking for a way they can argue these big companies didn't take "reasonable" care.
So this is the one that would make it illegal to provide open weights for models past a certain size, would make it illegal to sell enough compute power to train such a model without first verifying that your customer isn't going to train a model and then ignore this law, and mandates audit requirements to prove that your models won't help people cause disasters and can be turned off.
Audits cannot prove anything and they offer no value when planning for the future. They're purely a retrospective tool that offers insights into potential risk factors.
> and can be turned off.
I really wish legislators would operate inside reality instead of a Star Trek episode.
Many of you saying stuff like this were the same naysayers who have been terribly wrong about scaling for the last 6-8 years or people who only started paying attention in the last two years.
The same battle was/is had around cryptography - telling people they can't use or distribute cryptography algorithms on consumer hardware never stopped bad people from having real time functionally unbreakable encryption.
The safety plan must be around somehow handling the resulting problems when they happen, not hoping to make it never occur even once for the rest of time. Eventually a bad guy is going to make an indecipherable call, eventually an enemy country or rogue operator is going to nuke a place, eventually an AI is going to ${scifi_ai_thing}. The safety of all society can't rest on audits and good intention preventing those from ever happening.
Nukes are a far more primitive technology (i.e., enrichment requires only more basic industrial capabilities) than AI hardware, yet they are probably the best example of tech limitations via international agreements.
But the algorithms are mostly public knowledge, datacenters are no secret, and the chips aren't even made in the US. I don't see what leverage California has to regulate AI broadly.
So it seems like the only thing such a bill would achieve is to incentivize AI research to avoid California.
Regardless, I just read the transcript for that video and he doesn’t give any timeline so it seems premature to crow that he was wrong.
We have electrical codes. These require disconnects just about everywhere. The notion that any system somehow couldn't be "turned off" with or without the consent of the operator is downright laughable.
> were the same naysayers
Now who's being snide and dismissive? Do you want to argue the point or are you just interested in tossing ad hominem attacks around?
In all seriousness, if we ever get to the point where an AI needs to be shut down to avoid catastrophe, there's probably no way to turn it off.
There are digital controls for damned near everything, and security is universally disturbingly bad.
Whatever you're trying to stop will already have root-kitted your systems (and quite possibly have replicated) by the time you realise that it's even beginning to become a problem.
You could only shut it down if there's a choke point accessible without electronic intervention, and you'd need to reach it without electronic intervention, and do so without communicating your intent.
Yes, that's all highly highly improbable - but you seem to believe that you can just turn off the Genie, when he's already seen you coming and is having none of it.
How do you turn off Llama-Omega if it turns out that it can be prompt-hacked into a malicious agent?
Not so clear when you are inferencing a distributed model across the globe. Doesn't seem obvious that shutdown of a distributed computing environment will always be trivial.
> Now who's being snide and dismissive?
Oh to be clear, nothing against being dismissive - just the particular brand of dismissiveness of 'scifi' safety scenarios is naive.
Does anyone remember Sen. Lieberman's "Internet Kill Switch" bill?
Uh, aren't potential risk factors things you want to consider when planning for the future?
What are your thoughts about businesses like Google and Meta providing guidance and assistance to legislators?
I suspect this is not how the majority of "guidance" is actually being offered. I also guess this is probably a really good way to find new sources of campaign "donations." It's also a really good way for monopolistic players to keep a strangle hold on a nascent market.
What if it audits your deploy and approval processes? They can say for example, that if your AI deployment process doesn't include stress tests against some specific malicious behavior (insert test cases here) then you are in violation of the law. That would essentially be a control on all future deploys.
That's nowhere in the bill, but plenty of people have been confused into thinking this by the bill's opponents.
> (2) Theft, misappropriation, malicious use, inadvertent release, unauthorized access, or escape of the model weights of a covered model or covered model derivative.
> (3) The critical failure of technical or administrative controls, including controls limiting the ability to modify a covered model or covered model derivative.
> (4) Unauthorized use of a covered model or covered model derivative to cause or materially enable critical harm.
The man cannot be trusted with power -- this is far from the first ridiculous law he has championed. Notably, he was behind the (blatantly unconstitutional) AB2098, which was silently repealed by the CA state legislature before it could be struck down by the courts:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ncla-victory-gov-newsom-repea...
https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/openforum/article/COVID-...
(Folks, this isn't a partisan issue. Weiner has a long history of horrendously bad judgment and self-aggrandizement via legislation. I don't care which side of the political spectrum you are on, or what you think of "AI safety", you should want more thoughtful representation than this.)
> I have no idea what message you're trying to convey, but whatever it is, I think you're failing to communicate it.
Really? The message is unchanged, so it seems like something you could deduce.
Your opinion on what "thoughtful representation" is is what makes this point partisan. Regardless, he's in until 2028 so it'll be some time before that vote can happen.
Also, important Nitpick, it's Scott Weiner. Anthony Weiner (no relation AFAIK) was in New York and has a much more... Public controversy.
I think you accidentally hit the letter "L". :P
OpenAI, Anthropic, Google employees support California AI bill - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41540771 - Sept 2024 (26 comments)
Y Combinator, AI startups oppose California AI safety bill - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40780036 - June 2024 (8 comments)
California AI bill becomes a lightning rod–for safety advocates and devs alike - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40767627 - June 2024 (2 comments)
California Senate Passes SB 1047 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40515465 - May 2024 (42 comments)
California residents: call your legislators about AI bill SB 1047 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40421986 - May 2024 (11 comments)
Misconceptions about SB 1047 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40291577 - May 2024 (35 comments)
California Senate bill to crush OpenAI competitors fast tracked for a vote - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40200971 - April 2024 (16 comments)
SB-1047 will stifle open-source AI and decrease safety - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40198766 - April 2024 (190 comments)
Call-to-Action on SB 1047 – Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40192204 - April 2024 (103 comments)
On the Proposed California SB 1047 - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39347961 - Feb 2024 (115 comments)
But most importantly: whatever we do in this space has to be made on the assumption that we can't really influence what "bad actors" do. Yes being responsible means leaving money on the table. So money has to be left on the table, for - erm - less responsible nations to pick up. That's just a fact.
This is just silly. Anyone would be able to disable this tagging in an open model.
> This is just silly. Anyone would be able to disable this tagging in an open model.
And we'd end up with people who thinks that any text that isn't tagged as "#MadeByLLM" as made by a human, which obviously wouldn't be great.
Metadata (I assume it's file metadata and not a watermark) can be removed from a final product (image, video, text) so open and closed models are equally affected.
It's obviously not perfect, but could help and doesn't have the enormous side effects of trying to lock down all image generation.
Firstly, if you want to know an image isn’t generated, you’d have to go to every ‘whoever’ in the world, including companies that no longer exist.
Secondly, if you ask evil.com that question, you would have to trust them to answer honestly for both all images they generated and images they didn’t generate (claiming real pictures were generated by you can probably be career-ending for a politician)
This is worse than https://www.cs.utexas.edu/~EWD/ewd02xx/EWD249.PDF: “Program testing can be used to show the presence of bugs, but never to show their absence!”. You can neither show an image is real nor that it is fake.
Also you need perceptual hashing (since one bitflip of the generated media alters the whole hash) which is squishy and not perfectly reliable to begin with.
Just make a law that makes it so that AI content has to be tagged if it is being used for fraud
(g) (1) “Critical harm” means any of the following harms caused or materially enabled by a covered model or covered model derivative:
(A) The creation or use of a chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear weapon in a manner that results in mass casualties.
(B) Mass casualties or at least five hundred million dollars ($500,000,000) of damage resulting from cyberattacks on critical infrastructure by a model conducting, or providing precise instructions for conducting, a cyberattack or series of cyberattacks on critical infrastructure.
(C) Mass casualties or at least five hundred million dollars ($500,000,000) of damage resulting from an artificial intelligence model engaging in conduct that does both of the following:
(i) Acts with limited human oversight, intervention, or supervision.
(ii) Results in death, great bodily injury, property damage, or property loss, and would, if committed by a human, constitute a crime specified in the Penal Code that requires intent, recklessness, or gross negligence, or the solicitation or aiding and abetting of such a crime.
(D) Other grave harms to public safety and security that are of comparable severity to the harms described in subparagraphs (A) to (C), inclusive.
(2) “Critical harm” does not include any of the following:
(A) Harms caused or materially enabled by information that a covered model or covered model derivative outputs if the information is otherwise reasonably publicly accessible by an ordinary person from sources other than a covered model or covered model derivative.
(B) Harms caused or materially enabled by a covered model combined with other software, including other models, if the covered model did not materially contribute to the other software’s ability to cause or materially enable the harm.
(C) Harms that are not caused or materially enabled by the developer’s creation, storage, use, or release of a covered model or covered model derivative.
In that case, how much of an enabler is an AI to meet the destructive ends, when, if the humans can use AI to conduct the damage, they can surely do it without the AI as well.
The potential for destruction exists either way but is the concern that AI makes this more accessible and effective? What's the boogeyman? I don't think these models have private information regarding infrastructure and systems that could be exploited.
The bogeyman is not these models, it's future agentic autonomous ones, if and when they can hack major infrastructure or build nukes. The quoted text is very very clear on that.
All knowledge (publicly available and not) and all tools (AI or not) can be used by people in material ways to commit the aforementioned atrocities, but only the models producing novel knowledge would be at risk. I hope you can see how this law would stifle AI advancement. The boundary between what's acceptable and not would be drawn at generating novel, publicly unavailable information; not at information that could be used to harm - because all information can be used that way.
What if AI solves fusion and countries around the world start building fusion weapons of mass destruction? What if it solves personalized gene therapy and armed forces worldwide develop weapons that selectively kill their wartime foes? Should we not have split the atom just because that power was co-opted for evil means, or should we have not done the contraception research just because the third Reich used it for sterilization in their war crimes? This bill would work towards making AI never invent any of the novel things, simply out of fear that they will be corrupted by people as they have been in history. It would only slow research and whenever the (slower) research makes its discoveries, they would still get corrupted. In other words, there would be no change in human propensity to hurt others with knowledge, simply less knowledge.
Besides, the text is not "very very clear" on AI if and when it hacks major infrastructure or builds nukes. If it was "very very clear" on that, that is what it would say :) - "an AI model is prohibited to be the decision-making agent, solely instigating critical harm to humans". But what the text says is different.
I agree that AI harms to people and humanity need to be minimized but this bill is a miss rather than a hit and the veto is good news. We know AI alignment is needed. Other bills will come.
AI models might not be able to, but an AI system that uses a powerful model might be able to cause damage (including extinction of humanity in the more distant future) unintended and unforeseen by its creators.
The more complex and unpredictable the system the harder it is to properly oversee.
(A) Harms caused or materially enabled by information that a covered model or covered model derivative outputs if the information is otherwise reasonably publicly accessible by an ordinary person from sources other than a covered model or covered model derivative.
---
This exception swallows any rule and fails to target the difference with AI: it's actually better than an ordinary person at assimilating multiple fact streams.
That suggests this law is legislative theater: something designed to enlist interest and donations, i.e., to build a political franchise. That could be why it targets only the largest models, affecting only the biggest players, who have the most resources to donate per decision and the least goodwill to burn with opposition.
Regulating AI would be a very difficult legislative/administrative task, on the order of a new tax code in its complexity. But it will be impossible if treated as a political franchise.
As for self-regulation, with OpenAI's changing to for-profit, the non-profit form is insufficient to maintain a public benefit focus. Permitting this conversion is on par with the 1990's+ conversion of nonprofit hospital systems to for-profit.
AI's potential shines a bright light on our weakness in governance. While weak governance affords more opportunities, escaping the exploitation caused by governance failures is the engine of autocracy, and autocracy consumes property along with all other rights.
There's another important county election in Sonoma happening about CAFOs where part of the issue is that you may get environmental progress locally, but just end up exporting the issue to another state with lax rules: https://www.kqed.org/news/12006460/the-sonoma-ballot-measure...
At the same time,
> Computer scientists Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio, who developed much of the technology on which the current generative-AI wave is based, were outspoken supporters. In addition, 119 current and former employees at the biggest AI companies signed a letter urging its passage.
These are obviously highly intelligent people (though I've definitely learned in my life that intelligence in one area, like AI and science, doesn't mean you should be trusted to give legal advice), so I'm curious to know why Hinton and Bengio supported the legislation so strongly.
Nope, that's entirely standard legal stuff. Tort law deals exactly with those kinds of things, for instance. Yes it can certainly wind up in litigation, but the entire point is that if there's a gray area, a company should make sure it's operating entirely within the OK area -- or know it's taking a legal gamble if it tries to push the envelope.
But it's generally pretty easy to stay in the clear if you establish common-sense processes around these things, with a clear paper trail and decisions approved by lawyers.
Now the legislation can be bad for lots of other reasons, but "reasonable care" and "unreasonable risk" are not problematic.
Still strongly disagree, at least when it comes to AI legislation. Yes, I fully realize that there are "reasonableness" standards in lots of places of US jurisprudence, but when it comes to AI, given how new the tech is and how, perhaps more than any other recent technology, it is largely a "black box", meaning we don't really know how it works and we aren't really sure what its capabilities will ultimately be, I don't think anybody really knows what "reasonableness" means in this context.
Yoshua Bengio has written in detail about his views on AI safety recently[2][3][4]. He seems to put less weight on human level AI being very soon, but says superhuman intelligence is plausible in 5-20 years and says:
> Faced with that uncertainty, the magnitude of the risk of catastrophes or worse, extinction, and the fact that we did not anticipate the rapid progress in AI capabilities of recent years, agnostic prudence seems to me to be a much wiser path.
Hinton also has a detailed lecture he's been giving recently about the loss of control risk.
In general, proponents see this as narrowly tailored bill to somewhat address the worst case worries about loss of control and misuse.
[1] https://www.theregister.com/2023/07/28/ai_senate_bioweapon/
[2] https://yoshuabengio.org/2023/05/22/how-rogue-ais-may-arise/
[3] https://yoshuabengio.org/2023/06/24/faq-on-catastrophic-ai-r...
[4] https://yoshuabengio.org/2024/07/09/reasoning-through-argume...
Also, while reading your article I also fell onto https://www.brookings.edu/articles/misrepresentations-of-cal... while trying to understand some terms, and that also gave some really good info, e.g. the difference between a "reasonable assurance" language that was dropped from an earlier version of the bill and replaced with "reasonable care".
It’s not an opinionated pros/cons list from the industry but it’s probably the most neutral explanation of what the bill does.
Might as well make Linux illegal so everyone is forced to use Microsoft and Apple.
On this topic, I’m seeing too many ideological and uninformed claims.
It is hard for many aspiring AI startup founders to rationally and neutrally assess the AI landscape, pros and cons.
HIV/AIDS to this day is still something that people commit suicide over, despite how good your local gay male community is at trying to convince you that everything is okay and that "DoxyPep and Poppers is normal".
Bug givers (the evil version of a bug chaser) deserve felonies.
* wanted to decriminalize psychoactive drugs (lsd/dmt/mdma etc)
* wanted to allow alcohol sales till 4am
* a bill about removing parking minimums for new constructions close to public transit
Though I agree the car one seems ridiculous, and on first glance downright dangerous.
But yeah, there are some issues he's just wrong on (AI and the recent restaurant fee problem), others which are controversial (decriminalizing HIV transmission), and then some trans rights issues that some commenters are being hyperbolic about (should transwomen be in womens or mens prison?).
Of course no one cares until you get a bored cop one day. And with free way traffic you're lucky to hit half the speed limit.
I can't tell what direction your disagreement goes. Are you worried that he still feels that AI needs to be regulated at all, or do you think that AI needs to be regulated regardless of empirical evidence of harm?
Ah, I think now I know why Canada's government website is canada.ca (which I remember thinking was a bit odd or more like a tourism site when looking a while ago, vs. say gov.uk or gov.au).
My point was that that's confusing with gov.ca if the US is using ca.gov and gov.ca.gov for California, and that perhaps that's why Canada does not do that.
How on earth did you get that from the original posters comment?
Here, here. But this vague, passive voiced, hand-wavey statement that isn't even a promise does not exactly inspire me with a ton of confidence. Considering he turned this bill down to protect business interests, I wonder what acceptable legislation would look like, from his perspective. Looking forward to hearing about about it very soon, and I'm confident it'll be specific, actionable, responsible, and effective.
There are already laws against doing harm to others. Sure, we need to fill some gaps (like preventing harmful deep fakes), but most things are pretty illegal already.
https://www.piratewires.com/p/sb-1047-dan-hendrycks-conflict...
This bill was tainted from day 1, and Wiener was bamboozled into pushing it.
He should be ignored at least and voted out.
He’s a total POS.
For example, why is Microsoft hell-bent on pushing Recall onto windows? Answer: targeted advertising.
What does a "full shutdown" mean in the context of an LLM? Stopping the servers from serving requests? It sounds silly idk.
when that happens, it likely will not go well for humans
the specific harm is "human extinction"
We will create some form of artificial intelligence (AI) in the next decade. However, the recent (i.e. over last five years) advances in natural language processing are not the ones that automatically lead to that. I think we need more fundamental breakthroughs than attention-based neural networks and all the tricks that have gone into say a Llama3. [1]
Even if we did develop an AI more aggressively, say by 2030, I am not sure if that automatically leads to extinction. Here, my optimism is guided by the last few times we had major technological innovations (i.e. Steam Engine, Rise of the Semiconductor based circuits, etc.).
To be sure, these technologies were disruptive, probably net-negative in terms of pure climate impact and led to near-term job losses and generally helped increase the power of people on the top of the capitalist food-chain. However, they also helped us accelerate into a world where we can produce more food than we need for feeding everybody on the planet in a given year. And generally, helped us see more of the world by connecting the planet both physically and virtually.
I am not a blind optimist though. I think we need regulation for harm prevention. The problem with that approach is that we need to understand what harms are being caused first and in some instances that might be too late. But, I don't think we start by taking a blanket position (as a society/polity) on how technological innovation should occur -- because a) we are not there yet and b) that's just a poor way to do science.
Not speaking for MIT here, but that bill needs a veto and a deep redraft.
Code as Data, Data as Code.
When you start the program, it joins the swarm : it starts by grabbing a torrent, and train a model on it in a distributed fashion, and publish the results as a torrent. Then with the trained model, it generates new data, (think of it like alpha-go playing new games to collect more data).
See it as a tower of knowledge building itself, following some rough initial plans.
Of course, at anytime you can fork the tower, and continue building with different plans, provided that you can convince other people from the swarm to contribute to the new tower rather than the old.
Everything is immutable, but there is a versioning protocol built-in that allow the swarm to coordinate and automatically jumps to a next fork when the byzantine resistant quorum it follows vote for doing so (which allow your swarm to be compliant of the law and remove data if it was flagged as inappropriate). This allow some form of external control, but you can also let the quorum vote on subsequent modifications based on a model built on its data (aka free-running mode).
It's using torrent because easier to bootstrap but because the whole computation deterministic, the underlying protocol is just files on disks and any way of sharing them is valid. So you can grab a piece to work on via http, or ftp, or carrier pigeon for all I care. As long as the digital signatures are conforming to the rules, brick by brick the tower will get built.
To contribute, you can either help with file distribution by sharing the torrent, so it's as safe as your p2p client. If you want to commit some computing resources, like your gpu to building some of the tower, it's only requiring you to trust that there is no bug in ShoggothDb, because the computation you'll perform are composed of safe blocks, by construction they are safe for your computer to run. (Except if you want to run unsafe blocks, at this point no guarantee can be made).
The incentives for helping building the tower can be set in the initial definition file, and range from mere access to the built tower to tokens for honest participation for the more materialistically inclined.
Is it OK to release with the new law ? Is this comment OK, because ShoggothDB5-o can built its source from the specs in this comment ?
> we cannot afford to wait for a major catastrophe to occur before taking action to protect the public
Maybe but you can wait for minor problems or big near misses before legislating it all up.
Rather, the threat of AI is that we will dedicate so many resources—money, power, human effort—to chasing the ludicrous fantasies of professional snake-oil salesmen, while ignoring the need to address actual problems with real, known solutions that are easily within each given a fraction of the resources currently being consumed by the dumpster-fire pit of “AI”.
Unfortunately the Governor of California is a huge part of the problem here, misdirecting scarce state resources into sure-to-fail “public partnerships” with VC-funded scams, forcing public servants to add one more set of time-wasting nonsense to the pile of bullshit they have to navigate around just to do their actual job.
tl;dr gavin newsom thinks that a signable bill needs "safety protocols, proactive guardrails, and severe consequences" based on some general framework guided by "empirical trajectory analysis", and also is mindful of the promise/threat/gravity of all the machine learning occurring in CA specifically. He also affirms a general appetite for CA to take on a leadership role wrt regulating AI. My general read is that he wants to preserve public attention on the need for AI regulation and not squander it on SB 1047 specifically. Or who knows I'm not a politician lol. Really strong document tho,
Interesting segment:
> By focusing only on the most expensive and large-scale models, SB 1047 establishes a regulatory framework that could give the public a false sense of security about controlling this fast-moving technology. Smaller, specialized models may emerge as equally or even more dangerous than the models targeted by SB 1047 - at the potential expense of curtailing the very innovation that fuels advancement in favor of the public good. > Adaptability is critical as we race to regulate a technology still in its infancy. This will require a delicate balance. While well-intentioned, SB 1047 does not take into account whether an Al system is deployed in high-risk environments, involves critical decision-making or the use of sensitive data. Instead, the bill applies stringent standards to even the most basic functions - so long as a large system deploys it. I do not believe this is the best approach to protecting the public from real threats posed by the technology.
This is an incisive critique of the fundamental initial goal of SB 1047. Based on the fact that the bill explicitly seeks to cover models whose training cost was >=$100m & expensive fine-tunes, my initial guess about this bill was that it was designed by someone software engineering-minded scared of e.g. open-weight releases a la facebook/mistral/etc teaching someone how to build a nuke or something. LLMs probably replaced the ubiquitous robot lady pictures you see in every AI-focused article as public enemy number one, and the bill feels focused on some of the technical specifics of this advent and its widespread use. This focus blinds the bill from addressing the general danger of machine learning however, which naturally confounds regulation for precisely the reason plain-spoken in the above four sentences. Incredible technical communication here.
This is information technology we are talking about, it's virtually the exact opposite of nuclear weapons. Refining uranium vs. manufacturing multi purpose silicon and guzzling electricity. Achieving deterrence vs. gaining immeasurable wealth, power and freedom from labor.
This race may even be the answer to the Fermi paradox - that there are few individual winners and that they pull up the ladders behind them.
This is not the kind of race any legislation will have meaningful effect on.
The race is on and you better commit to a faction that may deliver.
The mostly unchallenged popular notion that fleshy human intelligence will still be running the show 100s – let alone 1000s – of years from now is very naive. We're nearing the end of the human supremacy, though most of us won't live to see that end.
I think the truly humanity-respecting solution is to figure out and implement a stable and fair-er 50% post-labor society before we actually get there. UBI (not the unmanaged flash layer) sounds like one part of the solution.
Trying to preserve employment is demonstrably wrong when already today there are too few unskilled jobs that make economic sense for the large amount of humans unable to learn more complex tasks.
An overreach.
Some people and organizations are more aligned with humanity’s well being and survival than others.
How does that help?
The giant does not care whether the ant he steps on worships him or not. Regardless of the autonomy or not of the AI, why should the controllers help you?
(b) “Artificial intelligence model” means a machine-based system that can make predictions, recommendations, or decisions influencing real or virtual environments and can use model inference to formulate options for information or action.
Yes, they limited the scope of law by further defining “covered model”, but the above shouldn’t be the baseline definition of “Artificial intelligence model.”
The amount of idiots who can't read and cheer the veto as a win against "the regulatory capture" is astounding.
What's next, going after maintainers of python packages... is attacking transparency itself a good way to make AI safer. Yeah, no, it's f*king idiotic.
"Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war." - Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Sam Altman, Bill Gates, Vitalik Buterin, Ilya Sutskever, Demis Hassabis
"Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity. There are other threats that I think are more certain to happen but are unlikely to destroy every human in the universe in the way that SMI could." - Sam Altman
"I actually think the risk is more than 50%, of the existential threat." - Geoffrey Hinton
"Currently, we don't have a solution for steering or controlling a potentially superintelligent AI, and preventing it from going rogue." - OpenAI
"while we are racing towards AGI or even ASI, nobody currently knows how such an AGI or ASI could be made to behave morally, or at least behave as intended by its developers and not turn against humans." - Yoshua Bengio
"very soon they're going to be, they may very well be more intelligent than us and far more intelligent than us. And at that point, we will be receding into the background in some sense. We will have handed the baton over to our successors, for better or for worse.
But it's happening over a period of a few years. It's like a tidal wave that is washing over us at unprecedented and unimagined speeds. And to me, it's quite terrifying because it suggests that everything that I used to believe was the case is being overturned." - Douglas Hofstadter
The Social Dilemna was discussed here with much praise about how profit incentive caused mass societal issues in social media. I'm astounded it's fallen on deaf ears when the same people also made the AI Dilemna describing the parallels coming with AGI:
That doesn't mean you're wrong, but it's not what Newsom signaled.
Yeah, there's no point having system that is made the most scrupulous of standards and then someone else deploys it in an evil way. (Which in some cases can be done simply by choosing to do the opposite of whatever a good model recommends.)
It's been vaguely mindblowing to watch various tech people & VCs argue that use-based restrictions would be better than this, when use-based restrictions are vastly more intrusive, economically inefficient, and subject to regulatory capture than what was proposed here.
Am I out of the loop here? What "high-risk" situations do they have in mind for LLM's?
It’s absolutely awful but they’re so horny for profits they’re trying anyways.
Presumably someone somewhere has a variety of proposed definitions, but I don't see any mention of any particular ones.
o-1 and AlphaProof are proofs of concept for agentic models. Imagine them as GPT-1. The GPT-4 equivalent might be a scary technology to let roam the internet.
It would have no effect on current models.
Passing this would not have been a complete solution, but it would have been a step in the right direction. This is a huge disappointment.
What is the actual, concrete concern here? That a model "breaks out", or something?
The risk with AI is not in just running models, the risk is becoming overconfident in them, and then putting them in charge of real-world stuff in a way that allows them to do harm.
Hooking a model up to an effector capable of harm is a deliberate act requiring assurance that it doesn't harm -- and if we should regulate anything, it's that. Without that, inference is just making datacenters warm. It seems shortsighted to set an arbitrary limit on model size when you can recklessly hook up a smaller, shittier model to something safety-critical, and cause all the havoc you want.
Absolutely no evidence to support this position.
https://digitaldemocracy.calmatters.org/bills/ca_202320240ab...
And a short bias comparison:
> The left discusses Newsom's veto as a victory for Silicon Valley, concentrating on the economic implications and backing from tech giants.
> The center highlights the broader societal ramifications, addressing criticisms from various sectors, such as Hollywood and AI safety advocates.
> The right emphasizes Newsom's concerns about hindering innovation and his commitment to future collaborative regulatory efforts, showcasing a balanced approach.
I do wish the partisan categorization was a bit more nuanced/intentional. It basically boils down to:
- Major national news outlet? Left.
- Local affiliate of major national news outlet? Center.
- Blog you've never heard of? Right.
There are certainly exceptions but that heuristic will be right 90% of the time.
That checks out.
There's a certain sect of the far right that is easily convinced by one guy saying "The media is lying to you! This is what's really happening!" followed by the most insane shit you've read in your life.
They love to rant about the Deep State.
And that is a problem. Congress makes laws, not government agencies like the FDA, EPA, USDA, etc.
We've seen a near-total abdication of responsibility from Congress on highly charged matters that'll piss off someone, somewhere in their constituency, because they'd rather allow the President to make an Executive Order, or a bureaucrat somewhere to create a rule or regulation that will have the same effect.
It's disgusting, shameful, and the American people need to do better, frankly. We need to demand Congress do their jobs.
So many of our problems can be solved if these people weren't concerned about being re-elected. Elected positions are supposed to be something you take time out of your life to do for a number of years, then you go back to your livelihood - not something you do for the entirety of your life.
Yeah, it could be a bit better. As a non-American, the biases are also very off from how left/center/right looks in my own country, but at least it tries to cover different angles which I tried to do manually before.
They can also be a bit slow at linking different stories together, sometimes it takes multiple days for same headlines to be merged into one story.
I haven't watched them in over a decade, but I assume they haven't gotten any better.
> Average Bias Rating: Right
I guess it's possible they don't have a 100% coverage of all the local Fox News stations, and some of them been incorrectly labeled.
Such as owning a piece of forest land and pinky-swear you're not going to exploit it. This offsets nothing. There is no additional carbon being absorbed out of the atmosphere. Yet this counts as emission reduction.
Not a good look for a group of people otherwise obsessed with climate change.
"OFFICE OF THE GOVERNOR
SEP 29 2024
To the Members of the California State Senate:
I am returning Senate Bill 1047 without my signature.
This bill would require developers of large artificial intelligence (Al) models, and those providing the computing power to train such models, to put certain safeguards and policies in place to prevent catastrophic harm . The bill would also establish the Board of Frontier Models - a state entity - to oversee the development of these models. California is home to 32 of the world's 50 leading Al companies , pioneers in one of the most significant technological advances in modern history. We lead in this space because of our research and education institutions, our diverse and motivated workforce, and our free-spirited cultivation of intellectual freedom. As stewards and innovators of the future, I take seriously the responsibility to regulate this industry. This year, the Legislature sent me several thoughtful proposals to regulate Al companies in response to current, rapidly evolving risks - including threats to our democratic process, the spread of misinformation and deepfakes, risks to online privacy, threats to critical infrastructure, and disruptions in the workforce. These bills, and actions by my Administration, are guided by principles of accountability, fairness , and transparency of Al systems and deployment of Al technology in California.
SB 1047 magnified the conversation about threats that could emerge from the deployment of Al. Key to the debate is whether the threshold for regulation should be based on the cost and number of computations needed to develop an Al model, or whether we should evaluate the system's actual risks regardless of these factors. This global discussion is occurring as the capabilities of Al continue to scale at an impressive pace. At the same time, the strategies and solutions for addressing the risk of catastrophic harm are rapidly evolving.
By focusing only on the most expensive and large-scale models, SB 1047 establishes a regulatory framework that could give the public a false sense of security about controlling this fast-moving technology. Smaller, specialized models may emerge as equally or even more dangerous than the models targeted by SB 1047 - at the potential expense of curtailing the very innovation that fuels advancement in favor of the public good.
Adaptability is critical as we race to regulate a technology still in its infancy. This will require a delicate balance. While well-intentioned, SB 1047 does not take into account whether an Al system is deployed in high-risk environments, involves critical decision-making or the use of sensitive data. Instead, the bill applies stringent standards to even the most basic functions - so long as a large system deploys it. I do not believe this is the best approach to protecting the public from real threats posed by the technology.
Let me be clear - I agree with the author - we cannot afford to wait for a major catastrophe to occur before taking action to protect the public. California will not abandon its responsibility. Safety protocols must be adopted. Proactive guardrails should be implemented, and severe consequences for bad actors must be clear and enforceable. I do not agree, however, that to keep the public safe, we must settle for a solution that is not informed by an empirical trajectory analysis of Al systems and capabilities. Ultimately, any framework for effectively regulating Al needs to keep pace with the technology itself.
To those who say there's no problem here to solve, or that California does not have a role in regulating potential national security implications of this technology, I disagree. A California-only approach may well be warranted - especially absent federal action by Congress - but it must be based on empirical evidence and science. The U.S. Al Safety Institute, under the National Institute of Science and Technology, is developing guidance on national security risks, informed by evidence-based approaches, to guard against demonstrable risks to public safety. Under an Executive Order I issued in September 2023, agencies within my Administration are performing risk analyses of the potential threats and vulnerabilities to California's critical infrastructure using Al. These are just a few examples of the many endeavors underway, led by experts, to inform policymakers on Al risk management practices that are rooted in science and fact. And endeavors like these have led to the introduction of over a dozen bills regulating specific, known risks posed by AI, that I have signed in the last 30 days.
I am committed to working with the Legislature, federal partners, technology experts, ethicists, and academia, to find the appropriate path forward, including legislation and regulation. Given the stakes - protecting against actual threats without unnecessarily thwarting the promise of this technology to advance the public good - we must get this right.
For these reasons, I cannot sign this bill.
Sincerely, Gavin Newsom.".
"Vote out the legislators!" but for who... the Republican party? And we don't even get a choice on the general ballot most of the time, thanks to "Open Primaries".
It's good that Newsom is wise enough to muddle through, but this is an awful system.
https://www.pressdemocrat.com/article/news/california-gov-ne...
As a Californian I have to disagree. The only reason you think it's being run just fine is because of the success of the private sector. The only reason California would be the 4th/5th largest economy in the world is because of the the tech industry and other industries that are in California (Hollywood, agriculture, etc). It's not because we have some awesome efficiently run state government.
Can you point to any place in the world that has an "awesome efficiently run" government?
California is run amazingly well compared to a significant number of states.
Tesla received billions in subsidies from CA as an example.
As a lifelong California Democrat, I realize that my party does not have all the answers. But the conservatives have all gone AWOL or gone batshit so we’re doing the best we can without the other half of the dialectic.
It’s very easy to make arguments that they are successful in spite of a terribly run state government and are being protected by federal laws keeping the loonies in check (interstate commerce clause, etc).
Also, I'd argue that if you broke down the contributions to the state's rules and regulations from the local governments, the ballot initiatives and the state government, the state government is creating the most benefit and least harm of the 3.
Source: https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/us-literacy...
To be fair in the comparison, the literacy statistics for the whole of the US are pretty shocking from a European perspective.
Edit to add: my own hometown had a lot of people who couldn't speak English. Lots of elderly mothers of Chinese immigrants whose adult children were in STEM and whose own kids were headed to uni. Not to say that's representative, but consider that a single percentage stat won't give you an accurate picture of what's going on.
Having said that, I would have thought this was partially a measure of migration. Perhaps illegal migration?
Source: my mom was an adult ESL / Language / Literacy teacher.
And this isn't a partisan dig at Democrats. If a Republicans controlled everything then the situation would be just as bad but in different ways.
California does do several things very well. It also does several things poorly. Pointing out its current economic standing does not change that. The fallacy here is that we have to compare california against the best version of itself. Alaska is never going to be a California-level economy because the geography dictates that only a certain kind of person / company will set up there, for example. That doesn't mean the Alaskan government is necessarily bad. Every state has to work within its limits to achieve the best version of itself. Is california the best it could be? I think the answer is obviously no.
The golden age of California was a long time ago.
California's GDP in 2023 was $3.8T, representing 14% of the total U.S. economy.
If California were a country, it would be the 5th largest economy in the world and more productive than India and the United Kingdom.
I always think about this whenever someone says CA doesn't know what it's doing or it's being run wrong:
California's GDP in 2023 was $3.8T, representing 14% of the total U.S. economy. If California were a country, it would be the 5th largest economy in the world and more productive than India and the United Kingdom.
https://usafacts.org/articles/which-states-rely-the-most-on-...
(I know by population it will be different, but the argument here is around 'one of the the biggest' which is not a per capita statement.)
> Objectively, there are many states that are far worse off in any key metric
You can apply the same logic to USA.
USA is one of the biggest most successful countries in the world. Like every where else it has it's problems but it's being run just fine. Objectively, there are many countries that are far worse off in any key metric.
As your link shows, a much smaller %age of CA government revenue comes from the federal government vs most other states; in that sense California is a net contributor rather than a net taker.
</s>
I'm exhausted already.
I can't think of a less efficient way to go about this.
This is why we can't have nice things, too many tech people support Newsom on vetoing this. The nightmare of corporate surveillance and erosion of privacy we have to endure every day is a result of such sentiment and short sighted attempt at self-preservation.
"It's vague" yeah, that's the point, the industry is allowed leeway to come up with standards of what is and isn't safe. They can establish a neutral committee to continually assess the boundaries of what is and isn't safe, as technology evolves. Do you expect legislators to define specifics and keep themselves updated with the latest happening in tech? Would it be better if the government established departments that police AI usage? This was the sweetest deal the industry could have gotten.
Today humanity scored a self-goal.
edit:
I'm guessing I'm getting downvoted because people don't think this is relevant to our reality. Well, it isn't. This bill shouldn't scare anyone releasing a GPT-4 level model:
> The bill he vetoed, SB 1047, would have required developers of large AI models to take “reasonable care” to ensure that their technology didn’t pose an “unreasonable risk of causing or materially enabling a critical harm.” It defined that harm as cyberattacks that cause at least $500 million in damages or mass casualties. Developers also would have needed to ensure their AI could be shut down by a human if it started behaving dangerously.
What's the risk? How could it possibly hack something causing $500m of damages or mass casualties?
If we somehow manage to build a future technology that _can_ do that, do you think it should be released?
i have no earthly idea why people feel so confident making statements like this.
at current rate of progress, you should have absolutely massive error bars for what capabilities will like in 3,5,10 years.
Why do we have such a system? Why isn't it a vote of many governors? Preferably a secret vote so voters can't be forced to vote along party lines...
I'll have to go get a thesaurus, shocked won't cover how I'm feeling rn.