But did it upended? Ponytail expected that they can solve the problem in about five years with a dedicated team. Obviously Ponytail is not a real person, so she did not get a real team and five year budget. But real people in the real world got it, done the work, and now this problem is solved and the solution is fielded.

You might split hairs on that it wasn’t five years but three or six depending on where exactly you put the threshold, but it seems to be roughly in the right ballpark of how it went in reality. At least close enough that I wouldn’t call the expectations upended.

I don't think anyone with a passing understanding of computer vision seriously thought this wouldn't get solved at some point, just that is happened years/decades sooner than expected.

He wasn't upended, in fact he states:

> Understanding what kind of tasks LLMs can and cannot reliably solve remains incredibly difficult and unintuitive.

His main point remains.