The way we do it is not the same way they do it. They literally only predict the next probable tokens. The way they do it is amazing, and the fact that they can do it as well as they do is amazing, but human thinking is a lot more nuanced than just predicting.

The fact that AI seems to be so reasoned is not that they are doing reasoning, but because there is a phenomenal amount of reasoning inherently embedded in their training data.

AI actually thinks in the same way that the figures on a movie screen actually move. It's a trick, and the difference may be pedantic, but it's very important in order to have a real discussion about the ramifications of it.