I'd wager that once I get hardware made in 2024, Wayland may work well for me (though in its defense it does work fine on my one machine with an Intel integraded GPU), but for now none of my (very old) discrete GPUs work reliably with Wayland, with 2 GPUs and 3 drivers (nvidia vs nouveau for my old GeForce and "radeon" (not amdgpu) for my old AMD card) causing 3 symptoms:
1. Crashes immediately on login
2. Black Screen
3. Kind-of sort-of works, but sometimes the screen just freezes for no reason and sometimes switching VTs fixes it sometimes not.
OpenBSD Xenocara
Strictly speaking Linux is "productive and usable" with nothing but a terminal multiplexer and a shell to work with. With expectations as high as they are in 2024, I don't think former Windows or Mac users will feel at-home with an x11 session. Switching away from bazaar-style software development is a prerequisite for the Year of the Linux Desktop.
Bazaar-style software development is the sole advantage free desktop has over macOS and Windows.
"sole advantage" isn't correct either - there's a plethora of reasons to use Linux. In the enterprise, people pay companies money to keep their Linux away from bazaar-level patches and randomly packaged repos. More casually, a lot of people don't use desktop Linux for a particularly advanced purpose and just treat it like a Mac/Windows/Chrome machine with fewer advertisements. Some people do very much get a lot of value out of the bazaar-side of Linux, but the comparison between the two styles wouldn't exist at all if Linux didn't entertain both philosophies.