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I'm pretty sure we are looking at something like 12 months. Not 5-10 years.

Pixart and this paper are good data points. Another even just 50x reduction in cost will make it possible on consumer hardware easily. This paper already claims over 100x reduction

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I hope that somewhere around that period of time we will have AI-based "game" engines working at 30-40fps at 4K (of course with upscaling). I mean it might not be game engines per se, but universal, interactive pipelines for audio-visual content creation/consumption. Because right now I do not see any hope of such engines due to the number of models involved and the latencies this implies.

i'm really hoping for this as well! i'm a big believer that neural rendering pipelines will overtake traditional push-tris-to-gpus that we've essentially been using since Descent

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