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> If ai continues to improve the amount of software engineers employed will decrease.

AI is already affecting the junior dev/intern space. Seniors and mid developers really don't need juniors around, there is a GPT that you can ask questions to and get the boilerplate back that you would usually send to the juniors to think through and develop for you.

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Not in my experience. LLMs are nowhere near replacing a junior dev. Maybe you can have a junior dev fix their bug ridden garbage responses but that's not replacing them.

It's possible this may be true in some domains now, but not in any I work in

You can't NOT have juniors, because that is what seniors evolve from :)

Otherwise when all current seniors die there would be nobody left to do programming.

See COBOL

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