1 software engineer can become 10x with a better ai.
In the further future 20x.
People are worried about the investment bubble. I’m worried about the employment bubble.
It’s sort of opposing metrics if ai does pan out your job is at risk. If it doesn’t, your ai investments are at risk. I think ultimately it’s your job that will be obsolete.
AI is already affecting the junior dev/intern space. Seniors and mid developers really don't need juniors around, there is a GPT that you can ask questions to and get the boilerplate back that you would usually send to the juniors to think through and develop for you.
Otherwise when all current seniors die there would be nobody left to do programming.
It's possible this may be true in some domains now, but not in any I work in
Everything that I have seen from ai makes me very secure that I’ll have work for far longer than desired.
Also you’re biased. I talk in terms of economics and jobs in general. You talk about you feeling “secure” and you having “work”. You’re thinking of your own security. I’m thinking about the population from a dispassionate perspective.
You need to be more logical.