In my naive understanding, it seems a direct analog of any insurable crop, eg corn.
An alternative analog would be not noticing that a cow was acting up, and allowing a whole herd to contract tuberculosis because a farmer didn't contact the vet or isolate parts of his herd from each other or the neighbors. Some things just happen, and they suck. But some things happen when you aren't on top of good management practices, and that sucks but some of it is on the farmer.