There is a reason why every country which has reduced nuclear power has increased its green house gas emissions.
There is a reason why every country which has reduced nuclear power has increased its green house gas emissions.
Wind and solar have significantly reduced carbon emissions across most western countries. Nuclear doesn’t scale well due to capacity factor falling with daily and seasonal changes in demand. France sitting next to non nuclear Germany can have lots of nuclear but that’s little different that some US states having more nuclear while connected to other states with less. What matters is the overall grid not arbitrary map locations.
Storing or curtailing wind/solar simply costs less than nuclear at 50% capacity factor, so that’s the only way to make real progress.
Every country is different, but wind and solar have scaled from practically nothing ("proving viability") 20 years ago to a majority of new installs 10 years ago to a significant chunk of all generation now.
Wiping out already-built nuclear power is like junking your car two months into a 96-month loan because you don't like the gas bill. Just... why? Sunk costs have generated nearly-free returns. You're still going to pay those costs, in dollars and in CO2, whether you run a nuclear reaction or not. The worst-plausible-case-scenario meltdown has been substantially mitigated with the extant designs, and some of the new designs that are probably never getting built would be difficult to melt down even if you attempted it.
Shutting down existing plants as Germany did is a very different proposition than scaling up a nuclear buildout in 2024. Renewables and various grid improvements are just way cheaper and more justifiable in the short term, and have none of the baggage attached, and have none of the need for state support attached. It would take a gargantuan effort right now to mass-produce reactors cheaply enough that they could even begin to compete with renewables.
At the same time Solar is always going to produce some power and the more excess generation you have to charge batteries and curtail hydro etc the higher that minimum worst case generation becomes.
Net result is you don’t need to build some huge battery bank to store energy from sunny days in the summer, you just ‘over build’ cheap generation and eventually you have no need for seasonal storage.
Are you talking about the typical nuclear plant which is often bespoke, or also considering modular reactor units which have (finally!) seen recent development?
> lithium ion batteries... makes the most financial sense
Correct me if I'm wrong but li-ion is still cost prohibitive for large scale energy storage on the grid. Things like V2G etc can help but those are owned by the drivers/consumers and not the state/electricity corps.
https://reneweconomy.com.au/batteries-smash-more-records-as-...
Modular units are firmly in the "I'll believe it when I see it, meanwhile keep the renewables building as fast as possible" category.
(also, everyone has forgotten about proliferation. The fighting around Zhaprozhia did remind a few people about the security risks, though)
Part of this is because of how absolutely f-ed up research in fission has been over the decades.
There is this graph if you can find it showing how much money was estimated to be spent on R&D, vs how much was actually spent. Basically by the 1980s or 90s, if investments were made, nuclear would've been much cheaper today. There's a bunch of things more, but it's not that nuclear is inherently expensive more than the fact that you need to spend money first to save it.
People play on the words ‘reactor’ but modular reactors themselves don’t actually solve any pressing issues and at least currently just cost more.
But yeah, the people who are trying to claim that nuclear is the only viable renewable energy solution to climate change haven't been paying attention to renewable energy advances in the past 10-15 years, and/or have been ignoring the massive budget and time overruns pretty much all nuclear plants have had in the past couple of decades, especially in developed nations that are trying to make sure they're built in a safe way.
We would be powered 100% by solar but our laws here allow the utility to limit the size of our system.
But please, tell me why the laws of thermodynamics don't apply to renewables.