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I agree with most of that, but I feel like I can tell the difference between "strongman" and "out of shape and overweight" pretty easily.

There's buff-fat, skinny-fat, and fat-fat, and the lines aren't always super fine.

being skinny-fat sucks

I was fat fat and now extremely skinny Fat, it is bad.

I don't even look fat with my clothes on lol

I was skinny fat once, the best way to combat this is to actually put on weight and muscle. Then eventually lose the extra few pounds.

usually it's the "limb muscle" vs "gut fat" ratio (plus the really strong neck is usually a dead giveaway) :)