Or in a simpler use case, you know one year or the other will be a low income year, you sell the stock in that year.
Let's say you make $100,000 and a whopping $50,000 of it is RSUs and ESPPs. You've been very lucky and the stock portion is now worth $75,000. You sell. Your federal bracket has gone up by 2% and your California bracket has stayed the same. You will owe an additional $500 in taxes. This is just about the worst case scenario where you're not making that much for tech and your comp is exactly on the edge of a tax bracket and your comp is 50% equity and your company went up by 50% since vesting.
If the brackets are 10,000 @5%; 100,000 @10%, if you make 100,000 your first 10,000 is taxed at 5% and the next 90,000 is taxed at 10%.
Outside of long/short term gains, all things being equal, the timing is not especially important
See also:
https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/new-york-st...
“However, New York also has a provision called tax-benefit recapture, which essentially turns its progressive tax into a flat tax for high earners, says Eric Bronnenkant, head of tax at Betterment and a certified public accountant.”
Everyone else, carry on. Nothing to see here.
It actually matters - or can matter, anyway - if you have any event pushing your income above $1M (if filing single) because of the change in deduction treatments.