Sounds like a PR-friendly way to do layoffs. Force people back into the office knowing 30%+ are going to quit.
If you do a traditional layoff you get to decide who stays and who goes and have at least the chance to try and retain your top players.
If you do a soft-layoff someone else does the choosing, and the more employable the employee is on the outside the more likely they are to leave.
Just ass-backwards decision-making no matter how one slices it.
Aren't these employees the most likely to get exceptions though?