"Nobody likes to fly through turbulence"
Thats not true! There are dozens of us! (Actually, quite a big more, I read a stat that we're about 5% of the fliers)
[1] kids be kids, of course - as a kid I once ran up and down the aisle during take off, so Im cool w/ kids.
Even on a gut level, feeling the plane bounce against the "road" gives you a confirmation that, yes, in fact, it is bouncing against something (even if that something is just air under the wings).
There have been five fatalities of US airline passengers in the last 10 years. That’s billions of passengers. It’s incredibly safe.
Safety calculations are hard.
https://www.iihs.org/topics/fatality-statistics/detail/yearl...
When you say driving is also safe, it doesn't really seem like a reasonable comparison when 85,878 died in motor vehicle crashes for every 1 person that died from flying.
Right now the FAA is bragging about serving 2.9 million passengers a day. I had no idea it was that high. That’s almost 1% of the population. The IIHS death rate works out in the neighborhood of 1 in 8-10k. But I think that’s per driver, not per trip. So we are stuck on the per trip bit again.
Meanwhile 5 fatalities in 10 years (~3652 days) is less than 10.5 billion person trips (assuming passenger rates climb over time) which is around 1 in 2 billion. So unless we are living in a statistical fluke that’s about two orders of magnitude off.
It has a chart normalizing by trip. Someone posted this on HM a few days ago.
Also, the statistical difficulties of this, and therefore large error, are significant. I see at least two:
1. 5 fatalities in ten years in the US neglects the 346 fatalities of passengers who died in two 737 Max flights before being recalled - flight deaths that, being 100% Boeing's fault, aren't on the US' tally by stat fluke (lookin at you Southwest).
2. actually its not luck that the hundreds of 737 dead didn't end up in the US' tally. Airline deaths are rare enough that there are not enough flights to sample the death rate properly.
There are orders of magnitude more driving than flying by mile and number of journeys.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aviation_safety
Scroll down to "transport comparison" and look at the journey normalization.
Flights are boring, the rocking around is fun!