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Comment by xtian | Hacker News Reader

[flagged]

We've banned this account for using HN primarily for political and ideological flamewar and ignoring our requests to stop. It's not what this site is for, and destroys what it is for, no matter what you're battling for or against.

If you don't want to be banned, you're welcome to email hn@ycombinator.com and give us reason to believe that you'll follow the rules in the future. They're here: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html.

There is no chance of Putin being overthrown. The population loves the guy.

That is not quite true. The majority of population is afraid/unable/not want to be vocal about their opinion in public.

Source: https://russianfield.com/180days (see aborted calls rate, and it is not the lowest i've ever seen)

Anecdotal evidence: I live in Russia and I know only a couple of people who supports P. Both pro-war and anti-war people do not.

But you probably live in a big city and mostly have contact with people with similar socioeconomic status as you.

That's true, however I've spent 17 years in a countryside and I'm regularly visiting it. Also, urban population rate in Russia is quite high (at 75%) and 1M+ cities are around 30% to 40% of total pop.

This mirrors my impression.

Sorry but I read many comments here over the past year saying that Russia will collapse soon and Ukraine will push all the way to Moscow

The media made all kinds of groundless prophecies especially at the beginning of the war when everyone, including Putin, were clueless. But now it should be obvious to everybody that it's going to be a very long war and nobody has any idea as to how it ends, and whether Putin's death will actually end it.[0]

[0] He's much older than the average life expectancy for men in Russia (which is probably around 63 years now) and ill but with expert medical care he might still live for another 10-15 years, one just might wonder how it would affect his brain.

You’re right that’s what the media is saying now so we need to update our beliefs accordingly.

True. I'm just observing all this wishful thinking and imagining the future me reading the headlines in say 12 to 18 months. This stuff is literal gold for contrarians like me.

Why give your money back to a company that treated you like that? It's not that Hetzner is doing this because they care about victims, war, etc., no, it's purely political, as they will not be terminating contracts with American or Israeli citizens. So if I were a Russian client of Hetzner, that would be the last place I'd put my money into.

Hetzner isn't doing this for political reasons, they are doing this because there are active sanctions against Russia which the German authorities take serious enough that if you are found to be breaking those sanctions you may be fined, go to jail or both. No such sanctions exist against American or Israeli citizens.

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