In my opinion, house prices never "go down" in major world cities - you'll perhaps have a little 3-5% wobble for a year or so, but typically prizes just stay the same for a long time if it is a "bad market". Then when conditions improve they just start going up again. You only ever see major corrections in the xx% range of permanent decreases in places where it was a bubble and no one wanted to live in the first place. You'll very likely never get this in a NYC, SF, London type place unless there is some other huge once-in-250-years mayjor even type thing (e.g. London getting flattened in WW2 etc)