I think people get tricked by the forward pass mechanics into thinking a single generation is comparable to a human thought process.
I think we have a llm like mechanism we can employ and lean on as heavily as we like, but we also have an executive function, like thousands of specialized instant Boolean checks, which can adjust and redirect the big talky model’s context on the fly.
My hunch is it’s turtles all the way down. “Gut feelings” are hyper-optimized ASICS with tiny parameter counts, but all using the same intelligence mechanisms.
Extrapolating from that hunch, we are already witnessing AGI, and in fact we’ve started at the top.
I believe that current llms are actually far far superior to a human language center and current architectures are more than sufficient in terms of raw intelligence.
The challenge that remains is to understand, train, integrate, and orchestrate all the different flavors of intelligence that humans wield so elegantly and naturally as to make them opaque to our own understanding.