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Comment by Jagerbizzle | Hacker News Reader

Considering that Jensen is on stage with Satya at the moment sharing the keynote of Microsoft Ignite, I suspect NVIDIA won't be going anywhere anytime soon.

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A bit surprised to see Jensen's stage appearance since clearly Microsoft's success with its own AI chips means less business for Nvidia's chips.

Because different than the ARM chip also announced in the same Ignite event, Microsoft doesn't exactly "need" nor can fully utilize an AI chip. Google trains its foundational models (e.g. Gemini) on its own TPU hardware but Microsoft's is heavily reliant on OpenAI for its generative AI serving needs.

Unless Microsoft is planning to acquire OpenAI fully and switch over from Nvidia hardware...

Microsoft absolutely runs their own models on their own hardware, at scale, and they have done so for years just like every other hyperscaler -- Project Brainwave was first publicly talked about as far back as 2018. The generative LLM craze is a recent phenomenon in comparison. They are absolutely going to go all in on putting AI functionality in Bing, in Excel, in Windows, etc etc. To do that, you need hardware.

None of this is really strange. It also wasn't strange when Google announced H100 systems while also pushing TPUs they developed. Microsoft has Jensen on stage because customers of Microsoft Azure demand Nvidia products. Customers of Google Cloud demand Nvidia products. So, they provide them those products, because not providing them loses those customers. It's that simple. Everyone involved in these deals acknowledges this.

They’ve been doing custom accelerators for Bing for a few years. See: project catapult (2012). It’s all on FPGA, but similar.

In some ways, Microsoft was 10 years ahead, but they are terrible as an organization at proliferating research projects to production across multiple orgs.

Awesome! Someone who knows about Brainwave!

Yeah! Did/do you work on it? The original publications were good timing; I was working as a consultant on an FPGA-based ML accelerator at the time the original stuff was talked about, and I really enjoyed reading everything I could about Brainwave! Really neat project from both a system design perspective (e.g. heterogeneous compiler) to the choice of using and interconnecting FPGAs and integrating the network/software/ML stack (IIRC, there was a good paper on the overlay network they used to make those custom functions available on the global network fabric.)

I'm guessing at this point the ASICs make a lot more economic sense, though. :)

Sorta! Tangentially on the data science side - Brainwave pre-dates me being at MS though. It's a really cool project and I'm glad someone else also thinks so :) I was enamored with FPGAs from undergrad, one of the professors I did research with was a consultant on the original Catapult project, I thought it was the coolest idea. It was pretty awesome to be able to come full circle a fews years later.

> Unless Microsoft is planning to acquire OpenAI fully

They're going to play a modified version of the old Rareware trick.

It's also a pretty great game to buy up OpenAI equity, which ultimately gets spent on Microsoft compute. Two birds, one stone.

...they're going to overbid on a studio that was actively falling apart, after being rebuffed from buying one of the biggest giants in the business[0], all as part of an ill-advised attempt to muscle into a game business they didn't understand?

[0] Microsoft tried to buy Nintendo very early on

I don’t think the margins here are so considerable that we can assume revenue = profit

They can be losing money, but gaining in market share and moat.

Almost nobody in this game cares about profit right now.

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