No expert either, but what you suggest is hypothesis.

Article reports some new evidence that seem to support it.

Not every seemingly obvious hypothesis is true.

My personal favourite at-first-counterintuitive law of nature: in orbital mechanics, to catch-up, speeding-up does not work. Speeding up (1) changes the orbit, (2) elevates the orbit, (3) higher orbit has lower speed. (Excluding trivially close distances)