Overturned car, small crater and ~15m next to the building some roof tiles slid off.

The death toll is awful, and it did a lot of damage in casualties - but blast-wise, it wasn't close to what a JDAM would do.

https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/irans-rockets-palestini...

This article even misses that Hamas is using a lot of Iranian Fajr-3 rockets, and published that (and then removed it when Iran made it clear they absolutely did not want that published).

Besides, both sides agree on one thing: that this was a misfire. If rockets fail, start to rotate, dump their fuel and then ignite it (all it takes is a spark, and I don't believe there's a single instance where a rocket dumped it's fuel and didn't ignite it, even with hobby rockets) it would produce exactly the sort of blast that was reported. This would, of course, require that the rocket still has fuel, and is reasonably close to the point it was launched from.

This all matches what Israel and WSJ claim.

And if you're going to go for conspiracy theories ... one might mention that Hamas had (and has) easy access to the grounds, where they could easily have collected debree from the rocket and shown it to the world. Reports say they have collected that debree ... and ahem "for some reason" they have obviously decided not to show it.

We all know how this is going to go. In a year's time, people will come on the ground, collect debree that Hamas has missed (there should be plenty, even if they tried to clean it up), and conclude that it was in fact Hamas.