If a log fails to publish a certificate despite issuing a receipt for it, Chrome's SCT auditing infrastructure can detect that, as it did recently with the Nessie 2023 log: https://groups.google.com/a/chromium.org/g/ct-policy/c/5x1A6... (this was also detected by monitors operated by myself and Cloudflare)
But this is all moot when it comes to XMPP, since XMPP clients don't check for SCTs, and there is no requirement for CAs to log certificates if they don't need to work in non-CT-enforcing clients. Some CAs (e.g. DigiCert) will sell you unlogged certificates - no need to compel them.
tldr: situation is good and improving with browsers, not so much with non-browser clients