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Interpreting world events based on your own biased viewpoints and emotions and then making mostly unsupported predictions is not exactly rational
While, for example, the above is quite obvious if you know how politics and power work. Everyone likes to stay as ”a good guy”, but it is impossible to have and maintain power by being just a good guy.
Many nations try to keep a specific narrative and most believe on it because they don’t like the alternative, as it would make many arguments hypocrite.