Ultimately, he's an uber rich guy who got lucky getting rich. Why should we listen to him about anything?
I read bits of the posted article. It's about what I would expect from Munger, and most of it isn't worth quoting and arguing against.
Ultimately, he's an uber rich guy who got lucky getting rich. Why should we listen to him about anything?
I read bits of the posted article. It's about what I would expect from Munger, and most of it isn't worth quoting and arguing against.
I hope UCSB backed out of building one of these monstrosities.
"Public policy graduate student Luiza Macedo didn’t see the sun for a full week when she had to isolate in her room at Munger Residence due to a Covid-19 scare."
https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/02/business/munger-residences-mi...
Students pay several tens of thousands of dollars to go to universities these days. That's not remotely begging.
https://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/sites/valueinvesting/files/fil...
Jim Simons has mentioned explicitly about how most people underestimate the role of luck in success, and he attributes quite a bit of his success to luck.
A better example of Buffett's obsessiveness is that he used to pick up discarded race track tickets. The overwhelming majority were no good, of course, but you might find one in a thousand where a winning ticket had been absent-mindedly discarded and you could cash in on the bet.
But, well, the fund management industry do work hard, yet have little to show for it. An old investment classic (can't remember which) put it this way: a guy new an analyst that could tell you everything you wanted to know about every railway company, except which ones to invest in.
I think many good investments rely on just a few simple arguments. For example, back in 2021 I learned that the price of Shell shares were at their lowest point for a decade or so, oil was at a low, and the US strategic oil reserves were at their lowest level since the 80's. I figured, Jeez, how much lower can then stuff go? So I bought shares. They've nearly doubled. There's no guarantees with this stuff, of course, I've made plenty of mistakes. It also requires the availability of opportunities, naturally. Sometimes my primitive monkey brain can spot them. No guarantees, there never are, but sometimes you can spot opportunities where the odds are stacked in your favour, and those are the ones you want to dabble in.
These guy are in the business of investing, not trading. A lot of people don't understand the difference and that is part of their advantage.