F-35 can’t be found after pilot ejected
thedrive.com
thedrive.com
If it's going to crash (and can't autoland, which it probably shouldn't attempt even if it could if something ejection-worthy happened), might as well obliterate the thing in a safe place.
By the time a pilot ejects they’ve exhausted EVERY other option to control the aircraft, no AI is going to regain control at that point.
It seems like they probably bail out when they've exhausted every option of being able to land it and survive. There are likely some scenarios where there's limited controls remaining, that wouldn't provide high enough odds of guaranteeing someone's survival, but that could optimize for something when it eventually makes contact with the land. In fact, it seems like there could be quite a bit of capabilities between where someone would want to bail out and where there are zero remaining controls.
Every other option with the pilot on board. The plane _may_ be easier to fly without it.
FTA: “The loss of the weight of the crew, seats, and canopy, as well as the shift in the center of gravity, have seen aircraft pull out of an imminent crash with nobody left onboard.”
One of the things I remember from Chuck Yeager's autobiography (his first one - I think he eventually had several) is that he called bullshit on this. His view was that the pilot was putting all his attention and focus into saving the aircraft, and stories about how the pilot steered a failing aircraft away from something important on the ground were not true.
Of course, after the fact a pilot is going to say he tried to save people on the ground...
(his view might have been cynical, but I expect it often holds true)
See, you say that, but this one seems to have done a good job of flying off to who the fuck knows where after the pilot ejected.
I doubt the software is doing that today but why couldn't there be maneuvers the plane could do at 15 Gs that would help it survive?
Sample dual ejection:
I think quite some pilots died this way because they were trying to the last second to save other lives.
If plane is that much out of control that you cannot do much, adding some code to try to do something might make things actually worse from my perspective.
Not quite the same you are thinking about but something similar is documented behaviour of the Global Hawk. Obviously since that is a remotely piloted aircraft “everyone has ejected safely” is not the trigger for it.
The way it works at the flight planning stage the operators define pre-determined points, and if the system detects certain faults it cannot recover from it tries to fly to these points and crash land into them. They call these point “termination point” on land and “ditching point” over water.
In this document[1] you can read more about the selection criteria of such points.
This document[2] details for air traffic control under which conditions flight termination points are used. In short (page 22) when the aircraft is uncontrolable for landing or landing at a suitable airfield cannot be achieved safely.
1: https://static.e-publishing.af.mil/production/1/af_a3/public...
2: https://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/2019-05/atm-...
Seems like a pretty good idea to self-destruct the most sensitive hardware (computers/chips/storage modules/etc) if recovery of the aircraft is no longer feasible.
Ooh, yeah. Let's add even more failure modes!
The linked article mentions that the pilot and navigator were considered missing. Other news reported also the presence of human remains near the crash site.
> "The jet’s transponder, which usually helps locate the aircraft, was not working “for some reason that we haven’t yet determined,” said Jeremy Huggins, a spokesman at Joint Base Charleston. “So that’s why we put out the public request for help.”
I did read that stealth aircraft have transponders installed when operating in US airspace, so commercial radar can see them better. But it was not installed on this flight.
> "Also, the jet's configuration and its avionics' operability are an issue. The F-35s wear radar reflectors when on transit flights, as well as on many training missions and some operational ones. The Marine jets often wear missile rails for AIM-9Xs, as well. But if the aircraft was in its full stealthy configuration and had avionics issues, tracking it may have been troublesome."
But in military planes, it must be turned on explicitly, because, depend on target of flight, it is possible, it must be OFF.
In general, this is very frequent case, when pilot just forget to turn on ADS-B.
So it's not a guarantee.
Seriously though, these jets sound terribly overpriced for how unreliable they seem to be.
A broad overview of my understanding of the situation: Most critics are making unfair comparisons (e.g. criticizing the F-35 for its inability to dogfight, or comparing its cost to 4th generation fighters, rather than its 5th generation peers)
This argument is further complicated by (as I understand it) a general lack of knowledge in the west concerning the true cost of Russian and Chinese 5th generation fighters (PAK FA and Su-57)
All of that being said, I think this is a heavily politicized topic, and I can never discount the possibility that I've been hoodwinked when it comes to such matters.
Specific figures will differ depending on how exactly one calculates acquisition costs. These numbers differ depending on the acquiring country, the block numbers, etc. But as rule of thumb the F-35 cost is roughly 10 million USD cheaper than the much less capable Gripen. This is notable as the Gripen is being marketed as the cheaper alternative. The F-35 has much higher operational costs (mostly due to the costs of maintaining stealth coating), but here's the opinion of the Finish and Swiss governments on full life-cycle costs from the article:
> However, both the Swiss and Finnish authorities argued that the F-35 was the best cost/benefit investment, if its full life-cycle economics were taken into account.
The Finish and Swiss most likely have no clue what the final full life-cycle costs will be. No-one knows this cost. The US who sold it knows a bit more than the Finns and the Swiss, but not even they know. Time will tell.
The F35 program has overrun it's costs over and over. The purchase price of the F35A (the conventional version) is being artificially low as a lot of the costs have been pushed onto the F35B and F35C models so they can offer an attractive price for their exports.
It's all politics at the end anyway.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning...
With the advancements in AI in recent years, it will probably get harder and harder to justify carrying a biological being and all the support systems onboard. At some point, a warplane capabilities might become irrelevant and the only important aspect would the the implications of carrying a solder onboard and making the downing of the device much more politically significant than downing a drone.
Of course whether the F-35 platform makes sense for that role is a different question. There are probably great niches for a drone F-35 (e.g. targeting anti-air installations), but Ukraine shows that having lots of $1000-$100,000 drones might be more valuable on the battlefield than one $75,000,000 drone.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning...
The UK for example currently has a fleet of 32, and Australia has 50.
I've read several articles today that called it the 'most expensive weapon', that the program is '10 years behind', that each costs $80M, and '$9M/year to maintain', that over 1000 have been built etc. For decades it has been a troubled project, many experienced insiders have called it a failure, from the day the first one rolled out ... long ago. 'Very successful' in what way?
PAK FA/T-50/Su-57 is the same Russian fighter.[0]
- The F35, with ~965+ units made since 2006, had 12 incidents with 9 or 10 hull-losses
- The Boeing 787, with ~1,077 units made since 2007, had 7 incidents with 0 hull-losses
I know that military does more dangerous stuff that civilians (e.g. one of the F35 crashes was during aerial refueling, other one while landing in a carrier), but still a ~1% hull loss (without enemy fire) is surprising for me.
To determine that this crash is evidence of unreliability would require you to have detailed knowledge of the operational and training volume and tempo they’re flying with - in comparison to other aircraft and their comparative failure rate.
You could argue that an iPhone would cost over a billion because you need to develop iOS. But why would you do that instead of modding android for 1/100th of the cost, if you're only gonna make 40?
The F-35 represents the result of a changing model for warfare. Less dogfights and missile duels, more managing a fleet of strike drones, loitering ordinance, ECM, and acting as an observability platform. With the advent of extreme long range, datalink guided, air breathing, air to air missiles, BVR is transitioning to over the horizon combat. I see you, I kill you. F-35 is a reaction to that.
The Navy NGAD is more of a replacement for the F/A-18E/F. It will probably be the same size because of constraints of carrier. Another difference is that the Air Force is working fast while Navy NGAD won't be ready until 2030.
Small, cheap drones have been effective in Ukraine because the ranges are so short. The battle space in the South China Sea is completely different.
The next generation may be the questionable one.
Here's the thing: you don't know anything about the F-35. Because the project is secret. The capabilities are secret. And in a US political system that's incredibly fractious, civilian oversight has been satisfied with the project for multiple administrations. But it's still secret.
Just from perusing the stats for other military planes that seems pretty good actually.
https://ayearinthecountry.co.uk/the-nightmare-man-part-1-col...
It makes maintenance far easier and over the long run results in significantly reduced costs.
I'm in no way suggesting your comment is an example of this, but, if I was a hostile foreign power I'd do everything possible to amplify messaging that my enemy's wonder-jet was an expensive boondoggle to try and hurt political support for it.
There are a number of possibilities you are not considering. Having our adversaries believe that the F35 is unreliable, for example, would be exceptionally useful. Other possibilities include intentionally attempting out-of-spec maneuvers or experimental hardware.
The high price may cause them to be unreliable, because they are so expensive to operate they don't get enough flying time to work the bugs out.
> The "Cornfield Bomber" is the nickname given to a Convair F-106 Delta Dart, operated by the 71st Fighter-Interceptor Squadron of the United States Air Force. In 1970, during a training exercise, it made an unpiloted landing in a farmer's field in Montana, suffering only minor damage, after the pilot had ejected from the aircraft. The aircraft, recovered and repaired, was returned to service, and is currently on display at the National Museum of the United States Air Force.
Given it's a military plane (which IIRC, aren't required to have transponders or have them activated) and stealth. it seems understandable that it would be hard to find if it didn't crash immediately.
Seems like you'd want them activated in domestic airspace.
> One of the other pilots on the mission was reported to have radioed Foust during his descent by parachute that "you'd better get back in it!"
If so, there's a limited edition high end wristwatch in it for the pilot:
https://us.bremont.com/pages/explore-bremont-partnerships-ma...
https://martin-baker.com/products/mk16-ejection-seat-for-f-3...
A worthy chronometer to suit a crashed pilot.
A Soviet MiG-23 flew all the way from Poland to Belgium without its pilot after they ejected from the jet shortly after takeoff back
https://community.infiniteflight.com/t/the-ghost-mig-over-be...
The F35 is shaped in a way that only flys well with 10-40 thousand pounds of thrust.
I am extremely skeptical a modern fighter jet wpuld coast and set it self down in a field.
Considering it is a stealth jet, broadcasting its location through easily detectable radio waves would be a serious bug, not a feature, wouldn't it?
[0] https://theaviationgeekclub.com/these-devices-make-stealth-a...
> The parachutes were still onboard and no indication of gunfire or blood caused by hostile attacks were seen on the plane.
[1] https://worldwarwings.com/still-unsolved-story-of-b-17-landi...
That the plane landed intact is pretty cool though!
[1] https://www.quora.com/What-happened-to-the-crew-of-the-B-17-...
(Goes to check ADSB-out data)
"The jet’s transponder, which usually helps locate the aircraft, was not working “for some reason that we haven’t yet determined,” said Jeremy Huggins, a spokesman at Joint Base Charleston. “So that’s why we put out the public request for help.”
Please no jokes about losing a stealth fighter...
Context: [1]
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Thunder#Documents_leaks
wtf
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/ValuJet_Flight_592
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1958_Tybee_Island_mid-air_co...
I have one on my cat and when he runs away he is not hard to find.
> Though it it continued flying I would expect it to be on ADS-B.
This is a military aircraft. Depending on its mission, transponders may or may not be enabled.
What did surprise me: if a 2-plane mission, why didn't the other jet follow the now-empty one? As a opposed to landing right after. Low on fuel?
At least it could have recorded speed & heading.
Indeed they do (or at least did)
He just wanted to be sure. With all those issues F35 had i wouldn't think twice when to eject. /s
[1] https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/f-35-cant-be-found-aft...
The issue here is finding the precise crash site. General location should be known. Trying to find it under the tree canopy could be more challenging depending on how rural it is.
You keep saying that word...I do not think it means what you think it means.
More seriously, military aircraft throughout the US often do not have their ADS-B or transponders turned on.
It's not the only missing nuke, either.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1958_Mars_Bluff_B-47_nuclear_w... is probably the (darkly) funniest one in the list. That one was recovered, but "the Air Force tried to nuke my kids' play house" is a story not many people can tell.
Fortunately, the fissile nuclear core was stored elsewhere on the aircraft
While I'll admit that is very effective failsafe, did they actually require the crew to do bomb surgery with a demon core during flight if they needed to arm the device?Debris found from F-35 jet in South Carolina after US pilot ejected
I always thought pilots ejected when the plane was about to crash.
Given that the plane costs $150 million, it seems like an extraordinarily expensive decision to make if the plane is not about to crash.
Earlier discussion over here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37552740
The debris field is approximately two hours northeast of Joint Base Charleston. JB Charleston, which led the search, “is transferring incident command to the USMC this evening, as they begin the recovery process,” the Marine Corps said in a news release.
Members of the community were cautioned to avoid the area so the recovery team can secure the debris field and begin the recovery process.
<https://lite.cnn.com/2023/09/17/us/south-carolina-fighter-je...>
Though I suspect information is being kept deliberately vague Because Reasons.
Or maybe it's really just a field of debris.
> $1.2 trillion to operate and maintain the fleet over more than 60 years.
https://wpde.com/news/local/missing-f-35b-jet-search-lake-ci...
I thought US had the air defense system that can defend against some level stealth aircrafts. Is that not the case?
Stealth technology shrinks radar signature, meaning all else being equal, a radar pointed at a stealth aircraft will return a substantially weaker signal than for a non-stealth aircraft, particularly at certain wavelengths it's optimized to be stealthy in. Thus a system of radars that might have no gaps a non-stealth aircraft could fly through might have gaps where it couldn't detect a stealth aircraft, or radars with the resolution to accurately locate the aircraft might not be able to distinguish it from background noise. Generally very large, long wavelength radars can detect that a stealth aircraft is present, but can't accurately determine location. The only time an air defense system has ever shot down a stealth aircraft was during the 90s when a Yugoslavian force shot down an F-117, but they relied on the fact that the plane was flying along a known flight route. Under ideal circumstances defense against stealth is theoretically possible, but a system that can reliably defend against stealth under arbitrary conditions is at best impractical.
Now that's the case for a radar deliberately set up to try and detect military aircraft flying through some area. The US isn't particularly expecting any foreign nation to fly a small sortie over North Carolina any time soon. Radar coverage in the US is limited; airports have radars that can detect very non-stealthy civilian aircraft a few dozen miles away, and there are many radars at military bases and weather stations and such scattered around, but air traffic monitoring relies heavily on transponder signals for most of the air space. While a foreign adversary probably shouldn't count on the ability to overfly the US completely undetected, we almost certainly would not be able to track it along its flight path.
Of course the US does not rely on detecting foreign aircraft to protect against an attack on the mainland, but instead practices a strategy of deterrence.
That's such a convenient event, isn't it? I mean, this screams of a middle manager screw-up and what is the best way to cover your financial losses (read embezzlement) other than staging a bank robbery, a fire or losing a jet? Yeah, that's my 2 cents conspiracy theory.
Sure lets put tracking devices in these stealth planes, will make it easy for anyone to find, even the Russians or Chinese.
How dumb can a Congress Person get, they surprise me everyday.
Sigh.
Also, ever hear of cracking" ? You think hackers in China could not crack that tracker given enough time ? Stealth usually means "unable to track" in case you are wondering :)
I'll be sharing a table with Jeff at the next gun show. https://joshdance.medium.com/who-is-jeff-and-why-does-he-hav...
/s
I can't see one of these things going down softly once pilot ejects unless it had some kind of drone mode, in which case god help us who knows where it is?
"The jet’s transponder, which usually helps locate the aircraft, was not working “for some reason that we haven’t yet determined,” said Jeremy Huggins, a spokesman at Joint Base Charleston. “So that’s why we put out the public request for help.”
That being said, no casualties, loosing a stealth fighter is somewhat funny.
> But here's the kicker: the DoD is saying the F-35B was put on autopilot prior to the ejection.
https://www.nbcdfw.com/news/local/pilot-ejects-from-f-35-at-...
https://theaviationist.com/2021/10/06/f-35-b61-12/
Best you could hope for would be a test bomb over Nevada but with no nuclear components.
It crashed into a secret US Navy project: the Stealth Aircraft Carrier.
"F-35 carrying Epstein client list goes missing"
from a news satire site
I'd be more inclined to believe that it's a gambit to flush out an intelligence leak rather than an inability to find their own $160M plane.
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220804-the-lost-nuclear...
> The US Department of Defense has officially recognized at least 32 "Broken Arrow" incidents from 1950 to 1980.
https://www-tc.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/media/filer_p...
> Unofficially, the Defense Atomic Support Agency (now known as the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA)) has detailed hundreds of "Broken Arrow" incidents.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_military_nuclear... ("Broken Arrow refers to an accidental event that involves nuclear weapons, warheads or components that does not create a risk of nuclear war.")
You crash an end-of-life trainer dressed up as an F35 in a carefully chosen site with no natural foot traffic. The FBI then sits in a bush and arrests everyone that turns up.
The F35 is the prime intelligence target for Russia before it gets in Ukrainian hands so they might risk some of their most valuable "illegals" i.e. the long-term embedded agents with flawless identities. For a big target, you gotta go big. Hang out the biggest prize in the most embarrassing way you can. This is a typical type of plot from The Americans TV show.
That or it's testing the adversarial satellite or balloon surveillance tech for how long it takes to find the craft. Maybe it's a test of Open Source Intelligence networks. Maybe it had genuine stealth tech and they are monitoring channels to find out if it was being successfully tracked. A top of the line stealth craft is hell of a honeypot so there are endless things that might get revealed - I imagine all hostile intelligence networks are lit up like christmas trees - it's like a barium meal.
Do I believe any of these? Nah. Reality is more ridiculous than fiction so no doubt it really is the case that they have just lost a prize intelligence asset.
(And even if it did, radar is not magic. If the plane is at the bottom of a murky lake, then no amount of radar or satellite imagery is going to find it.)
Just one example of how this kind of stuff plays out in the real world.
have you been watching prime-time crime fighting drama TV shows?
the implementation of that system is probably 8x as bad as it sounds, and it sounds too complex to implement in less than two decades.
real-time (or "near" real-time, whatever that means) imagery of every square inch of the continental US? No.
Only the weather satellites in geostationary orbits provide near real-time imagery, and they lack the resolution to spot something the size of an aircraft. High resolution images come from spy satellites in highly inclined low orbits which provide only intermittent coverage of any particular location. And they can't see through clouds.
ATC radar regularly loses small planes on 'primary' radar (primary radar being pure radar), and has to rely on the transponder. There are many areas where you simply don't have primary coverage, especially close to the ground. I've flown through military controlled airspace where they lose radar contact with me in a Cessna less than 10 miles from the base.
If near real-time, you mean a couple of times per day. There aren't enough LEO observation satellites to provide complete coverage.
Meanwhile the loony tune demographic has decided that it flew to China on Biden's orders.
It comes as no surprise to me that people responsible for these machines of war are more incompetent than you or me.
And your source for this data is…?
September 20, 2023
New evidence has emerged suggesting that the recent F-35 jet crash was not an accident, but a false flag event orchestrated by powerful interests to pursue a case for greater control over artificial intelligence (AI).
The crash occurred on September 15, 2023, during a routine training exercise. The pilot was able to eject safely, but the jet itself was completely destroyed. However, witnesses to the crash report seeing no debris field, and no hero pilot has been presented to the public.
This has led some to believe that the crash was staged in order to justify a crackdown on AI development. AI is rapidly becoming more powerful and capable, and some fear that it could eventually pose a threat to humanity. This crash could be used as a pretext to impose new restrictions on AI research and development.
There is also evidence to suggest that the crash was used to test new AI technologies. Some experts believe that the pilot may have been replaced by an AI system, and that the crash was used to assess the system's ability to handle a real-world emergency.
The US government has denied any wrongdoing, but the lack of transparency surrounding the crash has only fueled speculation. The public deserves to know the truth about what happened, and why the government is so eager to cover it up.
Why AI Control?
Those who believe that the F-35 crash was a false flag event argue that the powerful interests behind it are seeking to control AI in order to maintain their own power. AI has the potential to revolutionize many aspects of society, and those who control AI will have a significant advantage over others.
One specific concern is that AI could be used to develop autonomous weapons systems that could kill without human intervention. This would give those who control AI a terrifying amount of power.
Another concern is that AI could be used to manipulate people on a mass scale. This could be done through social media, advertising, or even through the development of AI-powered propaganda tools.
Those who are concerned about AI control argue that we need to be very careful about how we develop and deploy AI technologies. We need to make sure that AI is used for good, and not for evil.
Conclusion
The evidence suggests that the recent F-35 jet crash was not an accident, but a false flag event orchestrated by powerful interests to pursue a case for greater control over artificial intelligence (AI). This is a very serious concern, and the public deserves to know the truth about what happened. We need to be very careful about how we develop and deploy AI technologies, and make sure that AI is used for good, and not for evil.
The last place they look
At least do the "prize value" salvage reward they do for ships.
Hills of south carolina are out of its juristiction.
Sounds like it's in the water. It won't be easy to fish them out even if you find them. They probably determined security risk is very low.
Trying to make a whole mechanical system to redirect 40500lbs of thrust isn't super reliable.
There is some sort of lesson there that applies to the software engineering realm.
EDIT: Ooof, looks like there are some VTOL fanatics in the house. Who knew that unreliable military hardware was a fetish.