> "Notably, the Trinary tree outperforms its peers in MCAR settings, especially when data is only missing out-of-sample, while lacking behind in IM settings."
This somewhat mirrors the behavior of early imputation strategies. One must ponder, however, how the Trinary tree would perform vis-a-vis older methods like CART's surrogate splits or C4.5's probabilistic splits for handling missing values. These older methods were crafted with an intuition somewhat similar to the Trinary tree.
It's also great to see the amalgamation of Trinary tree with the Missing In Attributes approach into the TrinaryMIA tree. But the efficacy of this hybrid model isn't completely surprising. MIA has historically shown resilience in diverse missing data scenarios, and combining that with the Trinary's approach could harmonize their strengths.
What would be really enticing is to see if the essence of the Trinary decision tree can be injected into boosting models like XGBoost or LightGBM. Since these models are notorious for their treatment of missing values, maybe there's some potential symbiosis there?