The OP alludes to this with the mention of a solid of revolution in the post. And someone mentions Pappus in the thread there. How did Pappus figure out the centroid was distance to consider? I think that's another mystery, since the proofs of the theorem seem to depend on calculus, which brings us back to the original question.
Anyway, I was looking into the exact question of the OP a few months and this was the most satisfying answer I could find for where the 1/3 comes from geometrically.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pappus%27s_centroid_theorem#Th...