Didn't you just agree that "consciousness" is not defined?
Then how can you follow that with "... it's still clear that the bet is lost. We do not understand in 2023 how neurons give rise to consciousness"?
Then how can you follow that with "... it's still clear that the bet is lost. We do not understand in 2023 how neurons give rise to consciousness"?
The neuroscientist wagered that he or other neuroscientists will achieve something in 25 years. They did not. If the goal was poorly specified or impossible to achieve, that is on the person starting and accepting the bet.
There was certainly the possibility that they could have disagreed on the outcome. But there is really no dispute.
The possibility of disagreement would have mattered if the bet itself were significant, but it wasn't. It was always a tiny stake.