Let's Encrypt has produced two signed artifacts with the same serial number:
1. A precertificate: https://api.certspotter.com/v1/certs/22700bd0d70ac5790e6ae5b...
2. A certificate: https://api.certspotter.com/v1/certs/c0916d24ac8844522b36950...
A precertificate is not a certificate, but it implies the existence of a corresponding certificate which can be constructed by applying an algorithm to the precertificate.
Let's Encrypt intended to create a precertificate which would result in (2) when applying the algorithm to (1). Unfortunately, applying the algorithm to (1) results in a different certificate, (3), presumably because of some bug in Let's Encrypt. Since (2) and (3) have the same serial number, it's a violation of the prohibition against duplicate serial numbers.
An easier-to-understand description of the problem is that Let's Encrypt was producing precertificates that didn't match the final certificate, but the compliance violation is duplicate serial numbers, which is why I worded my compliance bug the way I did.