I can't imagine the decentralized camp ever growing significantly.

On r/RedditAlternatives people are discussing what sites to migrate to. The federated kbin and lemmy are getting significantly less attention than the centralized squabbles. [1]

Many redditors complain that sites being federated is actually a downside, as they don't understand it and even if they do they rather not explain it to their friends.

[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/RedditAlternatives/comments/148tn2s...