Now, when people make long term bets, like buying a house on investing in a business, and the expected inflation rate changes significantly, instead of their economic behavior being the key part of the success of the loan for both sides, it's the change in rates. We've seen banks in trouble not because 7% is too much, but because the borrowing decisions they made, expecting 2% inflation, proved to be major losers. Similar things happen in the real estate market: Ordinary borrowers are basically paying double, month-to-month, on the same house bought today than with a mortgage bought 2 years ago. So anyone that built new housing, doing the math to people buying the house for X price, is either seeing less demand, as only people that don't need a loan can afford it, or just a lower sale price, as the same salary can now pay less for a house. Either way, the builder loses on the bet, and houses either don't get built, or become less profitable.
So really, there's devastation either way when inflation or NGDP predictions are far off. And that's how the fed fails: Just not meeting targets in either direction.