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Comment by cs02rm0 | Hacker News Reader

It's really disturbing to see yet another industry spring up where the incumbents rush to seek regulation to keep everyone else down.

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On the other hand, I really wish somebody had rushed to seek regulation when, say, fossil fuels were being developed.

They can only do this in the USA. The battle bottleneck is going to be GPUs and countries that have access to it will leap ahead of the US if arbitrary regulations are put in place to neuter LLMs in the US.

You can lobby in every country, what do you mean

I think the healthcare industry case in the US is a great example of how regulatory capture works against the consumer.

Okay. you can do regulatory capture in many countries too

You’re just saying random things about US industries as if it’s insightful because you saw a documentary once, well that’s what its reading like

It only takes one country to host an open source AI model thanks to the internet.

Unless your country of residence decides to block access to that model, or the model's country of residence decides to apply a customs-like regime to its internet.

That's much harder to do and effectively impossible in the US/EU.

And where lobbying is illegal, only criminals can do it!

LLM progress is likely going to have a deteriorating curve like nearly all ML / AI tech.

It's possible things aren't going to get substantially better from GPT-4 for a while.

The idea that new players will surely zoom past seems bold, especially when established incumbents with massive budgets and proven track records in the space are struggling to keep up...

Checkout Claude, from Anthropic. It's a team of ex-OpenAI folks. The results I've seen from it thus far have been most impressive.

I think the next wave will focus on the emergent organization of information and zero shot solutions that some of these models seem to be showing in cases.

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