Western European cities flood, most recently in 2021. The short list of low-risk high-GDP countries is limited to city states and the likes of Hungary, Czechia, Qatar, Denmark, Switzerland, Austria, Finland and Iceland [1]. Worldwide.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_natural...
From that list:
4 Luxembourg 0.52%
13 Switzerland 1.03%
88 Germany 3.92%
110 United Kingdom 5.78%
131 Spain 9.68%
168 United States 22.73%
Though this does definitely tell me I was wrong about Australia, and that it only looks safe from a distance because the news isn't reporting on it:
164 Australia 21.36%
https://economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/economic-surveillance-e...
Hungary is quite nice though. Also, I'll take the Balkans over Western Europe any day. Not Bosnia or Kosovo, but the other EU countries, maybe even North Macedonia or Serbia. Or Southern Italy if you also want to be sophisticated.
There's evidence that the current is already slowing [1], and the midpoint of estimates for when it might collapse is at 1.8C warming, something we seem pretty likely to blow past within a decade or two.
It'd be bad for Australia and the Southwest US as well, since collapse of the AMOC would bring permanent La Nina conditions.
[1] https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/12/14/1041321/climate-...
I'm drawing a blank. Pretty much all of the mid-west is susceptible to tornadoes. The east and southeast to hurricanes. The west to earthquakes. The northeast to those crazy blizzards they sometimes get.
Because it doesn’t exist. You don’t build a city where you fortress. The oceans that give rise to natural harbours and ports also bring risk of floods and tsunami. Similarly for fertile riparian. The same seismology that raises the mountains which squeeze rain from clouds and provide stunning vistas also level badly-built homes.
The risks can be mitigated, but never eliminated. Look at the list of natural-disaster safe cities in America, and find a sea of low GDP per capita [1]. In an unexpected place we find the old adage reaffirmed: risk and reward come together.
[1] https://www.rockethomes.com/blog/housing-market/safest-place...
And some good sized earthquakes too.
https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/new-madrid-... // https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34701813
And from https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/cool-earthq...
> Earthquakes occur in the central portion of the United States too! Some very powerful earthquakes occurred along the New Madrid fault in the Mississippi Valley in 1811-1812. Because of the crustal structure in the Central US which efficiently propagates seismic energy, shaking from earthquakes in this part of the country are felt at a much greater distance from the epicenters than similar size quakes in the Western US.
And yes, while the entire west coast is red in the risk category... there is a good sized blob in the midwest.
But I have never had to deal with an earthquake or wildfire (other than staying inside for a few days). And I have been through multiple power outages due to rainstorms or ice bringing down power lines.
Yes [1]. It also floods and freezes from its proximity to the lakes and rivers that make it a logistical hub.
[1] Has Chicago ever had a tornado
https://slate.com/business/2019/01/chicagos-deep-tunnel-is-i...
https://earthquaketrack.com/us-il-chicago/recent
And for blizzards: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Groundhog_Day_blizzard https://abc7chicago.com/chicago-blizzard-2011-snowmageddon-b... (it's just that in the midwest people know how to prepare for blizzards and the city services have the tools) and yet...
> At least 36 deaths were reported to be related to the storm, many of them in shoveling or auto-related incidents, and the total damages were US $1.8 billion.
For your tornado question: https://www.weather.gov/lot/sigchitorn
> There were 92 significant tornadoes in the 8 county Chicago metro area between 1855 and 2008.
> The deadliest tornado occurred on April 21, 1967 during an outbreak of 5 significant tornadoes. A violent F4 tornado formed in Palos Hills in Cook County and traveled through Oak Lawn and the south side of Chicago. 33 people died and 500 people were injured by this 200 yard wide tornado that traveled 16 miles and caused over $50 million in damage.
> The most recent significant tornadoes occurred on June 7, 2008 over Will and Cook Counties.
> The only F5 tornado to ever strike the Chicago area was on August 28 1990. This tornado formed near Oswego and passed through Plainfield, Crest Hill, and Joliet. The tornado killed 29, injured 350, and caused $165 million in damage along a 16 mile path.
But Chicago is in an area that gets tornadoes - https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=LnkMSmLc6mM
I would also dispute “no natural disasters”. There are serious winter events in those regions (and crazy floods depending on where you are in the Midwest) that happen basically yearly.
I don’t think any part of the world is without significant tradeoffs, you just have to find the ones that matter to you.
I love Nova Scotia but I don’t think it’s the perfectly safe and livable paradise people should apparently move to.
HN confirmed for Hyperboreans.
None of these have the climate of San Francisco, but certainly livable.
Phoenix (and Albuquerque but I'm less familiar with the specifics) is in the desert; both the water it gets and the ambient temperature are getting worse due to climate change. There are already legal fights over water rights in the greater Phoenix area, and it's just going to get worse. That is not a place to be building up.
One recent example: https://kjzz.org/content/1847190/scottsdale-wants-governor-v...
> Scottsdale cut off Rio Verde Foothills from water sales in January due to worsening drought conditions. That left hundreds of homes in the unincorporated community without a reliable water source.
> Arizona lawmakers earlier this week sent a bill to the governor’s desk that would force Scottsdale to resume sales, for at least a few years while the community works out a long-term solution. But in a letter to the governor, Scottsdale’s mayor and City Council say the bill penalizes their city for sensible water management.
https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/joannaallhands...
> The bill requires the city to deliver at least 150 acre-feet to its standpipe each year, through 2025, unless outside circumstances reduce whatever source they use for it. And Scottsdale can’t charge Rio Verde Foothills residents more than $20 per 1,000 gallons for that water.
And the letter from the City of Scottsdale to the governor: https://www.scottsdaleaz.gov/Assets/ScottsdaleAZ/News/News+I...
How many people died? How many billions of damage occurred?
Of course stuff happens, there are also minor earthquakes. But I think the point upstream is to avoid massive events. A tornado downtown every decade that does a few million in damage is very different than a 1% chance the city is destroyed.
Volcanic activity has occurred in the past 600 years on all the Canary Islands except La Gomera, Gran Canaria and Fuerteventura
Weather there is perfect if you want eternal June :)
https://phys.org/news/2022-09-planet-volcano-visitors-spanis...
The weather is nice, I'll grant you that. Any Atlantic climate place with volcanoes has nice weather. I'll take the volcanoes over The Nederlands, thank you.
https://www.rwcpulse.com/blogs/portal-to-our-past/climate-be...
https://www.kqed.org/news/11889712/can-redwood-city-really-b...
> "Henry C. Finkler was a bicyclist. And he became, I have to say, fanatically interested in weather. And he recorded, every day he rode down the hill, what the air temperature was, what the winds were, the number of days of rain," Svanevik said.
> It’s Finkler who first claimed there were only three parts of the world that had perfect weather: the Canary Islands off the coast of northwestern Africa, North Africa's Mediterranean Coast, and anything within a 20-mile radius of Redwood City.