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Comment by metalspot | Hacker News Reader

this kind of infantile analysis is about a step above flat earth conspiracy theories at best.

it has no place whatsoever in intelligent conversation.

a 50 year old bullet may not work. are you going to put a gun in your mouth and test it? (ironically, there is a name for that)

it makes zero difference whether russia's nukes work or not. if they launch, then the US launches also, and the fallout and nuclear winter kills untold numbers.

if russia really thinks their nukes will have a high failure rate, then they will just launch more, and the US will launch more in retaliation before they ever hit.

the hot takes of twitter arm chair warriors have no place in reality. if you are even thinking of taking this bs seriously, please don't.

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Great points. I would add:

>twitter arm chair warriors

The people coming up with these insane warmongering narratives are not random everyday Americans. They are all US foreign policy apparatchiks. People working at “think tanks” in Washington DC or ex-CIA analysts writing for corporate media outlets. They are not a grass roots phenomena.

> US foreign policy apparatchiks

who are, unfortunately, pretty much just that. there is an enormous risk in the US, which has not fought a war on its own soil since the civil war, and has not been in a real existential battle since WWII, that the younger the decision makers get, the more detached from the reality of actual war they become.

the biggest war mongers are generally people who have no combat experience at all and have never face any real adversity in their lives. but even combat experience, when it is limited to being part of a vastly superior force that slaughters its opponents at will, is nothing compared to the experience of having your own country invaded.

Yeah, it sounds like an intentional campaign to reduce discontent from raising the stakes in the proxy war against Russia.

Do you have evidence of this?

Give me a million dollars and I’ll do a study. Otherwise I'm just going to go off my own personal experience of seeing this type of thing happen over and over again.

My own personal experience is that foreign policy analysts are not interested in dangerous escalation of the war, especially where nukes are concerned, while armchair generals on social media are more than happy to sling stupid opinions of their own making (which are thankfully ignored by the adults in the room).

“US officials are now suggesting that NATO should not be fearful of such [nuclear war] scenarios.

In March, three US officials with intelligence on Russian warheads claimed that around 60 percent of Moscow's missiles do not work.”

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1615231/putin-news-russ...

US government officials and armchair generals on social media are not exactly the same thing.

Maybe I’m missing the joke, but what is the name for putting a gun in your mouth to test it?

Russian Roulette

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_roulette

I think what's being referred to is Russian roulette, which may not be in your mouth, and may not be because the bullets are old, but the core idea being that there's some chance that the bad outcome happens (gum fires).

Given the subject, quite ironic. Or not, since maybe it's less ironic and more exactly what were talking about.

Russian Roulette

a 50yro cartridge has no up keep beyond keeping it in a sealed box. And yeah, it'll likely work just fine.

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