What exactly is it that makes you so confident?
Furthermore, I would argue there are strong complexity-theoretic bottlenecks to computational processes which limit the expressive power of neural networks, even if they could harness galactic amounts of energy. Physical Turing machines have bottlenecks that upper-bound the power of oracles.
Safety has become a near sacred value. Near my house a new light at a cross walk has a computerized voice that says "stop stop stop" , "walk walk walk". A cross walk to a dead end street with basically no traffic ever.
I can almost hear the city official who had it installed "if it saves just one child's life..." even though it is a near certainty no accident ever occurs at that cross walk either way.
AI safetyist are basically that city official to me. What you posted is besides the point. It is about lowering a probability no matter how remote that probability is and even if the whole exercise is basically pointless. The gods of safety will be pleased by our offering.
So what? If it kills us, we're still dead.
> I would argue there are strong complexity-theoretic bottlenecks to computational processes which limit the expressive power of neural networks
Of course there are physics/CS limits to how intelligent something can be in a given volume, but those limits are vastly higher than our own so I don't think they are particularly relevant. For instance, a system which could simulate the brains of a thousand scientists as smart as Einstein a billion times faster than realtime would not violate any rules of physics, even though it is far beyond our current capabilities.
We do have thousands of Einsteins today wielding untold resources, but the slowing pace of scientific progress suggests there are limits to scaling intelligence. Even with a hundredfold increase in scientists, I am unconvinced that would lead to a meaningful increase in social progress and have come to believe the bottlenecks we face are not due to a lack of intelligence, but a lack of other virtues (e.g., kindness, curiosity, courage, compassion, perseverance).
Obviously, your arguments are never going to be convincing to someone who does not share your beliefs.