I like PINE here at 10x AFFO, far cheaper than peers like O or ADC, but with similar risk profile. CTO same story. Both around 10% earnings yield, and better positioned than peers for growth. PINE is classic retail net lease, CTO is outdoor shopping centers in the sunbelt. Growth prospects, but also fine if they stay flat and yield 10% in perpetuity
Bonds are interesting here, but would need to see wider spreads for higher quality/non-idiosyncratic ones to be compelling. I like and own MPW bonds, which pay 10%+... much safer than the equity.
Certain BDCs are a screaming deal if you assume their portfolios can weather a recession well enough. CSWC is one of my favorite more traditional middle market lenders with 13% yield and low leverage. Conservative/smart management.
RWAY is one of my favorites here… over 15% yield with room to grow. Venture debt lender, valued at around 0.7x book value. They’ve been lumped in with other Venture lenders whose portfolio quality is very poor in comparison.
Lenders can easily blow up in a severe recession if they’re mismanaged or have weak portfolios… but given the banking turmoil, the sector has sold off indiscriminately and more than priced it in for some.
PBR.A has a PE around 2-3 and pays 30% a year in dividends. Valuation is low due to political risk from new Brazilian government.
For a more speculative play, NLCP pays around 13% yield with 0 debt, and some cash on hand. They own cannabis cultivation/retail facilities. The sector is falling apart due to declining cannabis prices, but we just hit the inflection point recently where pricing is starting to rise again due to competitors dropping out, and I think the fears have more than priced in what’s to come. Not one I’d own longer term due to eventual offshoring of production.
These are my more compelling total return plays, but there are many many more that are safer and still yield far higher than AAPL.
JEPI is a great one… owns primarily defensive stocks, and pays 10%/year from options income. However average holding PE is around 22, so Im waiting for it to get knocked down into the teens before I go bigger. Same with SCHD
That will make things a lot easier for me. Doing actual research myself was kind of hard.
/sarcasm