I agree, the people raving about Bluesky and who hate Post-Elon Twitter have never really used Twitter for the community it's always been for the reach being a privileged user on the platform got them.

If it comes down to a community and site they prefer the value of or 40K-100K followers vs 200 or so followers and aligned moderator values, they'll come crawling back to the place with more followers.

Even if they hate Elon Twitter, their reach is still worth more there.

I've got an invite and the content there currently feels very similar to a regular sized Mastodon instance so I think it's existing on borrowed time for the crowd it's genuinely hoping to attract.