So what? What you say would be true even of all the predictions were right, but just 1% less in magnitude. It's setting an unreasonably high bar.
A lot of people don't want to think about the harm that their enthusiasms could cause, and are eager to discredit anything that isn't a rose-tinted assessment because it's a threat to their fun or ambition.
AI will be great for those who already have money, and they'll be the ones writing the history of its effects.